The New York Yankees (26-9) and Baltimore Orioles (14-22) clash in the second game of a 4-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 5-2.
The Yankees took Monday’s opener 6-2 and have won 4 straight against Baltimore. New York is 7-1 and slashing a robust .259/.349/.470 (.818) over its last 8 games.
The Orioles have lost 4 contests in a row, scoring just 5 total runs. They have, however, gone 9-8 over 17 games at Camden Yards.
Yankees at Orioles projected starters
RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Spenser Watkins
Taillon (3-1, 2.93 ERA) has registered a 1.17 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP across 6 starts.
- Has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start.
- Has coughed up a .794 OPS against current Baltimore bats.
Watkins (0-1, 5.19 ERA) has made 6 starts. He’s clocked a 1.58 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 through 26 IP.
- Coming off a clunker at the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday that saw him yield 7 ER in 3 2/3 IP.
- Averages just 71 pitches per game.
Yankees at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:49 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (-135) | Orioles +1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Orioles 4
Money line
Watkins brings a lot of gray area into the equation, but Taillon had trouble on the road last season (5.60 ERA) and has not exactly dominated this Baltimore batting order — ad it’s an order seeing him for the 3rd time already this season.
Still, the trigger point for a play on the O’s would be a tag north of +185. PASS … but circle back later in the day.
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Run line/Against the spread
Some strength of schedule numbers — granular ones accounting for strength of batters faced and strength of pitchers faced — favor the Baltimore side here, and the Orioles bullpen is not bad. The back end of that bullpen is rested and has some arms that have given the Yankees trouble in the past.
The Yankee bullpen is quite good, but its 2.51 ERA is somewhat tamped down by some generous rates around the margins.
BACK BALTIMORE +1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
Fading Yankee pitching and making a play on Baltimore’s run production being held back too much by some dodgy in-play numbers like a .204 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations, TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (+105).
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