The New York Yankees (4-3) and Baltimore Orioles (1-5) open a three-game series Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
This is the first game of the season series between the Yankees and Orioles.
The Yankees are off to a good, but not great, start this season. They took two of three from the Boston Red Sox to open the year before splitting a four-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays, shutting out Toronto in each of their wins.
The bats have yet to come alive for New York as its scored 4 runs or fewer in each of its last six games. The pitching from New York has been impressive, however, allowing only 2.77 runs per nine innings and the second-lowest batting average (.197).
The Orioles have struggled out of the gate again this season, dropping five of their first six games. They haven’t scored more than 4 runs in a single game, ranking dead last in runs per nine innings (2.12). They’re also allowing opponents to hit .255 against them this season, which puts Baltimore 24th in baseball.
Yankees at Orioles: Projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Jordan Lyles
Montgomery (0-0, 8.10 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 3 ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 4 K across 3 1/3 IP in his debut against the Red Sox Sunday.
- Is 3-1 with a 3.08 ERA in 12 career starts against the Orioles with an average of 10.6 K/9.
Lyles (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 5 ER on 7 H and 3 BB with 2 K through 5 IP in his debut against the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday.
- Is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 8.3 K/9 across one start and one relief appearance against the Yankees in his career.
Yankees at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Yankees -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Orioles +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-130) | Orioles +1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Orioles 2
Money line
It’s easy to like the Yankees in this one, going up against one of the worst teams in baseball right now. However, I would PASS on the money line with a -220 tag. The Yankees should be able to win this one comfortably on the road against a pitcher they should have success against.
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Run line/Against the spread
New York went 5-3 in the final eight meetings between the Yankees and Orioles last season. They’ve had the upper hand against Baltimore in recent years, and that should continue Friday.
The Yankees’ bats may not have come alive just yet, but they’re due for a big night — and it could happen in this one against the Orioles. At the very least, Montgomery should bounce back against a bad Baltimore lineup that has scored more than 3 runs just once this season.
Bet the YANKEES -1.5 (-130) to cover the run line, even though the line is juiced a bit. Keep an eye to see if it slips closer to -110.
Over/Under
Neither team is putting many runs across the plate this season. In fact, they both rank in the bottom five of the league in runs scored per nine innings this year.
As unappetizing as this pitching matchup is, I simply don’t see the Orioles scoring many runs against Montgomery with their current lineup. The only fear is that the Yankees finally have a scoring outburst and score seven-plus runs themselves.
I like the UNDER 9.5 (-125) – again, despite the juiced line.
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