The New York Yankees (20-17) and Baltimore Orioles (16-21) open a three-game series at Camden Yards Friday night at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Corey Kluber is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 through 35 1/3 IP over 7 starts.
Kluber heads into this road start having yielded just 3 ER over his last 20 1/3 IP. In a small sample, current Baltimore batters own a .462 OPS against him.
RHP Dean Kremer is the projected starter for the Orioles. He is 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 26 IP over 6 starts.
Kremer has twice been pounded by the Yankees this season with a combined 9 ER on 15 hits over 7 1/3 IP.
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Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-125) | Orioles +1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Yankees 6, Orioles 5
Money line (ML)
Looking at Statcast batted-ball data, peg Kluber as being somewhat fortunate thus far and Kremer with a lean the other way, toward being a tad unlucky.
Still, the Yankees have an offense with a lot of growth potential. A .227 batting average on balls in play in inning lead-off situations has minimized the traffic in front of a collection of hitters that could average over 5 runs per game (current 3.9 RPG). New York also owns the better bullpen.
An acceptable price on the Orioles looks to be pushed too low by the juice but peg the ORIOLES (+165) as a slight lean.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
ORIOLES +1.5 (+105) may be more palatable for bettors not finding enough value on the money line.
A likable Over takes a bit of steam out of that play as well.
Over/Under (O/U)
The top play for this series opener is the OVER 9 (-110). This is a play on both offenses, to an extent, and a serious fade of a Baltimore bullpen that owns an unsupportable 3.39 ERA on the season.
O’s relievers have benefited from a .247 BABIP and things have already started to swing against this bunch: Baltimore relievers own a 4.97 ERA this month.
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