The New York Mets (65-38) and Washington Nationals (36-69) put a lid on a 3-game series Wednesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 9-3
The Mets dropped their first 2 games coming out of the All-Star break but had won 7 in a row before falling to the Nats 5-1 Tuesday. New York is 20-11 over its last 31 games against Washington.
The Nationals have the league’s worst home mark at 17-39 and they own a bottom-third offense that has been trending the wrong way of late. Washington has logged a .659 OPS since June 27.
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Mets at Nationals projected starters
RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Anibal Sanchez
Bassitt (7-7, 3.83 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 115 IP.
- Pitched 6-scoreless innings and allowed just 3 hits to the Nationals April 9.
- Has been saddled with a Boeing 7.16 ERA over his last 6 road turns.
Sanchez (0-3, 7.47 ERA) owns a 1.40 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 15 2/3 IP across 3 starts.
- Missed the first half of the season with a neck injury and sat out the entire 2021 season.
- Current Mets batters own an aggregate .731 OPS against him.
Mets at Nationals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Nationals +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -2.5 (-108) | Nationals +2.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Nationals 3
Money line
Bassitt is coming off a 103-pitch effort in his last and has often struggled in his next game following that type of effort this season.
Figure WASHINGTON (+210) as a slight lean.
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Run line/Against the spread
WASHINGTON +2.5 (-112) is a slight lean. Bettors wanting to hedge the risk may want to split a ticket, half-ML-half-RL. Even so, a partial unit on the outlay for sides here is recommended.
Over/Under
There is some Under lean to this series based on both teams’ run-scoring and allowance compared to expected results. The Under has gone 5-2 across the last 7 series games played in D.C.
Peg the UNDER 9.5 (-130) as the strongest play in this matchup.
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