New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (65-37) and Washington Nationals (35-69) continue a 3-game series Tuesday at Nationals Park in D.C. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 9-2

The Mets dropped their first 2 games coming out of the All-Star break, but have won 7 in a row since. New York took Monday’s series opener 7-3 and owns a robust .950 OPS over those 7 wins.

Washington has the league’s worst home mark at 16-39. The Nats own a bottom-third offense, and things have been trending the wrong way of late. Washington owns a lackluster .650 OPS since June 27.

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Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Cory Abbott

DeGrom (7-2, 1.08 ERA last season) returns from the 60-day IL for his 2022 debut.

  • Owns a 2.50 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 across 198 career games.
  • Has held current Washington batters to an aggregate .486 OPS.

Abbott (0-0, 2.25 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd career start. He has allowed 2 H and 1 BB with 6 K through 4 IP over 3 relief appearances.

  • Pitched an inning in relief Sunday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals with 1 BB and 2 K.
  • Only other career start came Oct. 1, 2021, as a member of the Chicago Cubs. He allowed 2 ER on 4 H and 2 BB with 4 K through 5 IP at the Cardinals.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Nationals +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -2.5 (-120) | Nationals +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Nationals 3

Money line

The gray area caused by these 2 starters combining for 4 MLB innings so far this season — and the game’s best offensive player (OF Juan Soto) perhaps being held out if trade-deadline talks heat up — makes for an automatic PASS in this corner.

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Run line/Against the spread

With the above in mind, WASHINGTON +2.5 (+100) would be the only side of interest. That interest is minimal and bordering on non-existent.

Over/Under

DeGrom aside, there is some Under lean to this series based on both teams’ run-scoring and allowance compared to expected results.

The price is attractive, so the UNDER 8.5 (-105) fits as the strongest play in this matchup.

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