The New York Mets (20-10) and Washington Nationals (10-20) lift the lid on a 3-game series at Nationals Park Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 3-1.
New York is coming off a rain-soaked trip to Philadelphia. Scheduled Friday and Saturday games were nixed due to rain, and then the Mets split a Sunday doubleheader. After a hot start, New York’s National League entry is 6-5 over its last 11 games.
The Nationals are coming off a 4-5 road trip that included stops in San Francisco, Colorado and the Los Angeles Angels. Washington banged out an .858 OPS in that trip, but Nats pitching notched a 4.70 ERA.
Mets at Nationals projected starters
RHP Tylor Megill vs. LHP Patrick Corbin
Megill (4-1, 2.43 ERA) has registered a 0.90 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 33 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 3 runs on 4 hits and 2 walks while fanning 9 in 5 1/3 against the Braves May 4.
- He’s 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA in 3 road starts this year.
- He beat the Nationals at their venue earlier this year with 6 strikeouts in 5 shutout innings.
Corbin (0-5, 7.16 ERA) owns a 1.81 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP across 6 starts.
- Went 8 IP (94 pitches) in his last, allowing 5 runs (3 earned) at Colorado (Wednesday).
- Current Mets batters own an .812 aggregate OPS against him.
Mets at Nationals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Run line (RL): Mets -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Nationals 3
Money line
There is some risk to Corbin bouncing off the 94 pitches in thin air, and New York is much the better team, top-to-bottom. Would risk a partial-unit play on the METS (-180), more in the -170 range.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS: the line is more attractive (not paying the big price on New York), but the Mets’ offense is enough of a question mark after the off days and going against a southpaw.
Over/Under
Corbin is better than the Boeing ERA he’s sporting, Megill has been hot and the Mets’ bullpen is elite.
The Mets’ recent off days make for some rust perhaps setting in, and lefty starters bring out the worst in New York’s splits. With a pitcher’s breeze blowing in and both bullpens coming off a rest day, BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-112).
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