The New York Mets (69-68) and Washington Nationals (56-80) play the finale of a five-game series Monday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets at Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Mets RHP Trevor Williams (4-2, 4.27 ERA) makes his 15th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 through 71 2/3 IP.
- Allowed one unearned run, four hits and no walks with four strikeouts across 4 1/3 innings in his most recent outing Tuesday in a no-decision against the Miami Marlins.
- Has no record with a 3.00 ERA in 9 IP across two starts against the Nationals this season, including his team debut with the Mets on Aug. 12.
Nationals LHP Patrick Corbin (7-14, 6.26 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 141 IP.
- Roughed up for six earned runs, nine hits and four walks across five innings in a loss against the Phillies Tuesday.
- Went 1-5 with a 7.88 ERA with 11 homers allowed in 32 IP across six August starts.
Mets at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+122) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Prediction
Mets 7, Nationals 4
Money line (ML)
The METS (-130) have won three of the first four games in this series, outslugging the Nationals (+105) 33-21. Play New York, not only because of that, but also because Corbin has been horrific since around the All-Star break.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
If you like the METS -1.5 (+122) on the money line, you should like them on the run line, too. In their three victories in this series, they have won by two or more runs, and two of the victories have been by four or more runs.
They’re also 5-1 against the Nationals since Aug. 28, and all five of those wins are by two or more runs, too.
Over/Under (O/U)
Play OVER 9.5 (+100), mainly because of the struggles of Corbin and his inability to keep the ball in the park. He has allowed at least one home run in each of the past eight starts and 15 homers over 42 1/3 IP during the terrible stretch.
The Over is also 6-1 in the past seven outings by Corbin, and the Over is also 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in D.C.
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