The New York Mets (3-2) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (3-1) Tuesday for the second game of their three-game set at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Mets have dropped both of the past two outings after winning the first three games of the new season. That includes a 5-4 setback in the series opener in Philadelphia as the total pushed Monday.
The Phillies picked up the 5-4 win behind LHP Ranger Suarez in the opener. Philadelphia has averaged 4.8 runs per game through four outings while yielding 3.8 runs per outing.
Mets at Phillies: Projected starters
Mets RHP Tylor Megill vs. Phillies RHP Zack Wheeler
Megill picked up the win Thursday in Washington, allowing just 3 hits with 0 walks and 6 strikeouts across 5 scoreless innings.
- Went 1-4 with a 4.32 ERA with a .260 opponent batting average in 41 2/3 IP in 8 starts on the road in 2021 while striking out 41 batters.
- Yielded 4 runs, 5 hits and 1 walk across 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Philadelphia last August in his only career appearance against the Phillies.
Wheeler (14-10, 2.78 ERA in 2021) posted a 1.01 WHIP with 247 strikeouts across 32 starts in a tremendous 2021 season.
- Went 7-5 with a 2.38 ERA and .200 opponent batting average with 149 strikeouts across 124 2/3 IP in 18 starts at home.
- Was 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA across 34 1/3 IP over five starts against the New York Mets, his former team, in 2021.
Mets at Phillies odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Mets at Phillies prediction and picks
Prediction
Phillies 4, Mets 2
Money line
The PHILLIES (-155) won the series opener, keeping up their mastery of the Mets. Philadelphia is 20-8 in the past 28 home games against New York while going 7-1 in the past eight meetings overall. It’s a good bet that the good times will continue for Philly with Wheeler on the bump.
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Run line/Against the spread
The PHILLIES -1.5 (+130) are worth a small wager on the run line.
Their first two wins of the season were by more than 2 runs, but the series opener was a 1-run game, so be careful. Still, with Wheeler, they should get really good pitching in a lower-scoring game.
Over/Under
The UNDER 8.5 (-102) is the lean after the total pushed in the series opener. Wheeler kept scores down last season, and the Under is 8-1-2 in the past 11 meetings while going 3-0-1 in the past four battles in Philadelphia.
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