The New York Mets (41-36) and New York Yankees (41-39) open a three-game Subway Series Friday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Taijuan Walker is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. In 14 starts this season, Walker is 6-3 with a 2.38 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 9.3 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 79 1/3 IP.
Albeit in limited at-bats, current Yankees own a high-contact .980 OPS against the veteran right-hander. However, Walker has been terrific of late: since June 3 when he walked 4 batters against just 2 strikeouts at the San Diego Padres he has logged a 2.84 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 25 1/3 IP, issuing just 2 walks while fanning 31.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. he is 3-2 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 82 IP over 15 starts.
Montgomery owns a 3.35 ERA over his last seven starts. Over that span he’s faced the talented batting orders of the Red Sox, Athletics, Blue Jays (twice), Twins, and White Sox. The Bronx lefty owns a tidy 2.61 ERA over seven starts at Yankee Stadium in 2021.
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Mets at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Yankees 5, Mets 3
Money line (ML)
Peg New York’s American League entry as the best side in this one. TAKE THE YANKEES (-145).
The Mets are 1-4 over their last 5 games; the Yankees are 1-5 over their last 6. Both bullpens have been on a slide, and the Yanks more so than the Mets, but the Yankees offense has at least started to crank it up. They own an .808 OPS over the last two weeks while the Mets have posted a figure exactly 200 points lower.
Montgomery has a fair line while Walker’s has been supercharged from some hard-to-repeat rates around the margins, such as his .261 batting average on balls in play, for instance.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The run-line price on the Yankees is attractive. BACK THE YANKEES -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under (O/U)
A cooler, breeze-in night in the Bronx, complete with decent starters, above-average bullpens, and a rested Yankee relief corps all factor into 8 runs being a well-made total.
TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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