The New York Mets (9-14) and Miami Marlins (9-6) start a four-game series Monday at Marlins Park; first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mets-Marlins MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Mets at Marlins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Robert Gsellman at RHP Jordan Yamamoto
Gsellman in 2020: 0-0, 9.00 ERA, 1.67 WHIP in 3 IP (2 G, 1 GS)
- The righty is being thrust back into the rotation with Jacob deGrom injured and Steven Matz losing his grip on a starting spot. Gsellman probably won’t pitch too deep into this contest.
- In a full 2019 season as a reliever, he was saddled with a 4.66 ERA in 63 2/3 innings.
Yamamoto in 2020: 0-0. 9.82 ERA, 2.05 WHIP, 9:2 K:BB in 2 GS (7 1/3 IP)
- Career at home: 6.00 ERA, 5 HR allowed in 43 innings
- However, he has spun a 3.00 ERA in two career starts against the Mets, with a 16:4 K:BB.
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Mets at Marlins: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Mets
- SP Jacob deGrom (neck) questionable for next start
- SP Michael Wacha (shoulder) out
- SP David Peterson (shoulder) out
- OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out
- 2B Jed Lowrie (knee) out for season
- OF Yoenis Cespedes (personal) opted out of 2020 season
- SP Noah Syndergaard (elbow) out for season
Marlins
- OF Corey Dickerson (bereavement list) questionable
- SP Sandy Alcantara (COVID-19 contact) out indefinitely
- C Jorge Alfaro (COVID-19) out indefinitely
- OF Harold Ramirez (COVID-19) out indefinitely
- RP Adam Conley (COVID-19) out indefinitely
- SS Miguel Rojas (COVID-19) out indefinitely
- SP Caleb Smith (COVID-19 list) out indefinitely
- SP Jose Urena (COVID-19 list) out indefinitely
- RP Ryne Stanek (COVID-19 list) out indefinitely
- OF Garrett Cooper (COVID-19 contact) out indefinitely
- 2B Isan Diaz (personal) opted out of 2020 season
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Mets at Marlins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 8:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Mets 5, Marlins 3
Each team has a long list of injury and illness concerns. Neither starting pitcher does it for me, but I prefer the Mets’ lineup, currently paced by breakout post-hype prospect Dominic Smith (.296/.375/.741 with six homers in 64 plate appearances).
Moneyline (ML)
- Mets (-143)
- Marlins (+130)
PASS on the moneylines. Use the run line for better returns on the Mets.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
- Mets -1 (-121)
- Marlins +1 (+100)
I still don’t like working with whole-numbered run lines, but BetMGM allows you to work with other spreads. BET Mets -1.5 (+105).
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Mets run line -1.5 (+105) would return a profit of $10.50.
Over/Under (O/U)
- Over 9 (-110)
- Under 9 (-110)
The outlook for runs scored is too close for me to care about either equally juiced line. PASS.
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