New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (60-60) and Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) play the first game of a four-game series at Dodger Stadium Thursday, with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Taijuan Walker (7-7, 3.75 ERA) makes his 23rd start.  He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP.

  • Solid in his last start against the Dodgers Saturday in New York, allowing just 1 run on a solo shot in the seventh inning.

Dodgers RHP Corey Knebel (2-0, 2.89 ERA) makes his first start of the season. He has allowed 3 ER on 5 H and 4 BB with 13 K over 9 1/3 IP spanning 12 relief appearances.

  • Has never made an MLB start and isn’t likely to pitch deep into the game as an opener.
  • The L.A. bullpen has a 3.04 ERA and 3.92 xFIP across 438 combined innings this season.

Mets at Dodgers odds, lines, picks, and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Dodgers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-122) | Dodgers -1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Dodgers 8, Mets 4

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers are 39-20 at home and have a slugging percentage of .429 as a team overall. 1B Max Muncy leads Los Angeles with a .575 slugging percentage and has 49 extra-base hits, including 28 home runs on the season.

Los Angeles swept New York last week but two of those contests went to extra innings. The Dodgers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings dating back to 2019, including winning each of the last four.

Lean DODGERS (-220).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Dodgers won 14-4 in the latest head-to-head meeting, as RHP Max Scherzer earned his 10th victory on the season.

Muncy went 2-for-4 with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs for Los Angeles, while RHP Carlos Carrasco took his first loss for New York.

Lean DODGERS -1.5 (-102).

Over/Under (O/U)

Los Angeles is 9-1 over its last 10 outings with a .262 batting average and 1.78 team ERA while outscoring the opposition by 39 runs in the process.

Lean to the OVER 9.5 (+100).

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