The New York Mets (5-3) play the Colorado Rockies (3-10) in a seven-inning doubleheader Saturday at Coors Field to make up for yesterday’s rainout. Game 1’s first pitch is scheduled for 5:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Mets swept the Philadelphia Phillies 3-0 this week, outscoring them 13-4 and have won four of their past five games.
The Rockies are on a six-game losing streak after getting swept by two divisional foes in the San Francisco Giants last weekend followed by the Los Angeles Dodgers.
RHP Jacob deGrom is on the mound for the Mets. deGrom is 0-1 with 0.64 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 over 3 starts.
- Last outing: Loss in 8 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 14 K’s in the Miami Marlins’ 3-0 win over New York last weekend.
- Career at Coors Field: 1-0 with a 2.51 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 10 K) in 2 starts.
RHP Chi Chi González gets the start for Colorado. González is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 and 5.4 BB/9.
- Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 6 BB and 5 K in the Rockies’ 4-3 loss to the Giants last Saturday.
- Career vs. Mets: No appearances.
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Phillies at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Rockies +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -2.5 (+105) | Rockies +2.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Mets 7, Rockies 1
Money line (ML)
PASS because New York is the right side, but the Mets (-300) is too rich for my blood.
If you follow baseball at all, you know one of the worst jokes in the MLB is deGrom’s record.
This should be deGrom’s first win, and there are better spots to bet on the MLB slate than fading the two-time Cy Young winner.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
“LEAN” to the METS -2.5 (+105) for a half-unit because New York’s hitters have let deGrom down most of his career, and this bet is very square.
However, the Mets are stacked with quality left-handed hitters and vs. González, lefties’ wOBA is 37 percentage points higher, and González has a 1.72 WHIP vs. lefties (1.25 WHIP vs. righties).
Also, this Rockies lineup has been shut down by deGrom. Current Colorado hitters are slashing .146/.212/.208 with no home runs and two RBIs in 48 at-bats vs. deGrom.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 6.5 (-120) for a quarter-unit, but wait until closer to first pitch before making this bet because the market is barreling into the Under right now.
The argument for the Under is simple: deGrom plus the Mets only scoring more than five runs in just one game this year.
But, I like New York’s chances in the batter’s box today vs. González and Colorado’s bullpen has the second-highest ERA and the highest WHIP.
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