The New York Mets (5-3) visit the Colorado Rockies (3-10) for a three-game weekend set beginning with an 8:40 p.m. ET first pitch at Coors Field Friday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jacob deGrom gets the nod for the Mets after his scheduled start Thursday was postponed by rain. The two-time Cy Young winner is 0-1 but with a 0.64 ERA and 0.71 WHIP through two starts. He has a 13.5 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 over 14 innings and has allowed just one solo home run.
RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starter for the Rockies. The 29-year-old swingman is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 and 5.4 BB/9 through 10 innings across one start and two relief appearances. He has a 5.24 ERA over 44 2/3 innings pitched at Coors Field in his career.
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Mets at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Rockies +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -2.5 (-110) | Rockies +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Mets 5, Rockies 2
Money line (ML)
The Rockies were dealt some bad luck with deGrom being pushed back to this series opener instead of pitching the would-be finale of the Mets’ previous series against the Philadelphia Phillies.
He has a career 2.32 ERA and 11.2 K/9 across 32 starts when pitching on six or more days of rest. He has also been excellent two starts in the tough pitching conditions of Coors Field with a 2.51 ERA and just 1 home run allowed over 14 1/3 innings.
The Mets would be the pick with their ace on the hill but not at this chalky price. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Back the METS -2.5 (-110) on the run line even with them laying 2 runs and needing to win by 3 or more.
New York just won three straight against the Phillies by an aggregate score of 13-4. Colorado dropped six straight decisions coming into Friday.
The Mets hit much better against right-handed pitching than the Rockies with a team OPS of .753 to Colorado’s .622 team rate.
Over/Under (O/U)
Stay in line with deGrom and back the UNDER 9.5 (-105).
He threw just 77 and 95 pitches in his first two outings of the season and will work on extra rest Friday. He’ll shut down the Rockies’ production with the only concern for the Over being with the Mets tacking on too many extra runs against Colorado’s 29th-ranked bullpen ERA of 5.84.
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