The New York Mets (15-21) and Baltimore Orioles (16-19) will square off Wednesday afternoon at Orioles Park at Camden Yards with the first pitch slated for 4:05 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mets-Orioles betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Mets at Orioles: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Michael Wacha vs. LHP John Means
Wacha is 1-2 this season with a 7.41 ERA and 25 strikeouts through 4 starts.
- Wacha has allowed at least four runs in each of his last three starts, most recently giving up four runs to the New York Yankees in three innings last week.
- Despite his unsightly ERA, Wacha is striking out a career-high 13.2 batters per nine innings.
Means has yet to win a game this season, going 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA thorugh 5 starts.
- Means is allowing almost three times as many home runs per nine innings (3.7) this season as he did last year (1.3).
- He has yet to pitch complete 5 innings in any outing this season.
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Mets at Orioles: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Mets
- RP Dellin Betances (back) out
- 2B Eduardo Nunez (knee) out
Orioles
- 1B Chris Davis (knee) out
- OF Austin Hays (ribs) out
- SS Hanser Alberto (knee) questionable
- OF Stevie Wilkerson (wrist) out
Mets at Orioles: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Mets 6, Orioles 5
Moneyline (ML)
The Mets are favored slightly in this matchup at -134 over the Orioles (+130) despite losing five games in a row. This is a difficult game to predict between two teams that have been struggling mightily as of late, but we’ll go with the METS (-134) based on Wacha’s high strikeout rate and the potential of New York’s offense.
It’ll be a close game, but New York should be able to snap its five-game losing streak.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Mets to win returns a profit of $7.46.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BetMGM’s recommended run line has the Mets favored by -1.5 at +1010 odds. It’s hard to feel confident in New York covering that line based on its recent games, which is why I’d hedge a moneyline bet on the Mets with a small wager on the Orioles to cover.
The ORIOLES are +1.5 (-121) and assuming neither pitcher blows up in the early innings, the game should remain fairly close. I like taking the runs in this scenario.
Over/Under (O/U)
The over/under is 10 runs this afternoon. It went Over Tuesday night with the Orioles winning 9-5, and I expect the run total to go Over again today.
The pitching on both sides is just too underwhelming to feel confident in the Under, even with two pitchers who should be performing better than they have been.
Take the OVER 10 (-110).
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