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The New York Liberty (31-7) and the Washington Mystics (13-25) meet Tuesday at St. Elizabeth East Entertainment and Sports Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Liberty lead 3-0
The Liberty had a 5-game winning streak snapped Sunday at home against the Minnesota Lynx, 88-79, as New York failed to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. A win would have locked up the No. 1 overall seed in the playoffs, too. Still, New York leads Minnesota by 2 games with 2 to play, and it needs just 1 more victory to clinch the top spot.
The Mystics suffered a rough 76-73 loss in overtime in the 2nd end of a home-and-home series with the Atlanta Dream. It could have been a costly blow to their playoff chances, as they’re in a 3-way tie with the Atlanta Dream and Chicago Sky for the final postseason spot with 2 games to play. The problem is that Washington has to play the Liberty and Indiana Fever in the final 2 games.
Despite the loss and non-cover, Washington is still 7-3 straight up (SU) in the past 10 games, while going 9-2 against the spread (ATS) in the previous 11 tries. The Under is on a 4-0 run for the Mystics.
Liberty at Mystics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Mystics +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
- Against the spread: Liberty -9.5 (-115) | Mystics +9.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at Mystics picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 88, Mystics 81
Moneyline
New York (-450) will set you back 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
Yes, the Liberty is still battling for the No. 1 overall seed, so there is plenty of motivation there. However, Washington (+340) is also fighting for their playoff lives, so expect desperation from the Mystics.
PASS, and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
Play WASHINGTON +9.5 (-105) lightly, as it’s desperation mode in the nation’s capital. The Mystics can ill afford another loss if they want to keep playoff hopes alive.
While the Mystics haven’t been able to get a win in 3 tries with New York -8.5 (-115) this season, Washington has covered all 3 meetings, while going 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 battles in this series.
Over/Under
OVER 161.5 (-110) is a strong play in Tuesday’s penultimate game for both WNBA squads.
The Over has cashed in 8 consecutive meetings in this series, with an average of 171.7 PPG in the 3 games this season. If these teams hit the averages from the previous 3 meetings, they’ll clear Monday’s total by 10 points.
The Over has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games for the Liberty. The Under is 4-0 in the past 4 games for the Mystics, but go with the head-to-head trends to trump that.
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