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The New York Liberty (12-2) and Phoenix Mercury (7-7) meet Tuesday at the Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Liberty lead 1-0
The Liberty opened a current 2-game West Coast swing with a 90-82 win at the Las Vegas Aces Saturday in a WNBA Finals rematch. New York won outright as a 2.5-point underdog, improving to 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, while the Over has a slight 4-3 edge in the previous 7 outings despite the Under (174) hanging on in Vegas.
The Mercury played the Liberty tough in the 1st head-to-head meeting this season, played May 29 at Barclays Center. New York held on for an 81-78 win as a 14-point underdog and the Under (173) cashed.
Phoenix has won 3 of the past 4 games, while covering 4 in a row. The Over has a slight 2-1 edge in the Mercury’s past 3 games, but the Under is 6-3 across the previous 9 outings.
Liberty at Mercury odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:34 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Mercury +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread: Liberty -4.5 (-115) | Mercury +4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at Mercury picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 83, Mercury 80
Moneyline
New York (-225) will cost 2.25 times the potential return. That’s a bit risky given how close the 1st meeting was on its home floor against Phoenix in late May.
Of course, you can’t trust the Mercury (+180) straight up, either, as the Liberty have won 12 of 14 games. New York always finds a way to win, even when it might not be at its best.
PASS and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
PHOENIX +4.5 (-105) is a solid play on its home floor.
New York is 5-1 ATS in the past 6 games, so this is a slightly risky play. However, Phoenix covered in the May 29 game, and it is on a 4-0 ATS run, while cashing in 3 in a row on its home floor.
The Mercury hold a slight 3-2 ATS edge in the past 5 meetings in this series, too, even with the Liberty winning 4 in a row outright.
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Over/Under
UNDER 170.5 (-110) is a solid play in this West vs. East battle.
In this series, we’ve seen the Under go 5-1 in the past 6 meetings, including the May battle in Brooklyn, while total has gone Under at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 in the series.
The Under has a slight 3-2 edge for the Liberty in the past 5 games, while going 5-1 in the past 6 on the road.
For the Mercury, the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 outings, while going 3-1 in the previous 4 contests at home.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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