New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

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The New York Liberty attempt to eliminate the Las Vegas Aces in Game 4 for their best-of-5 WNBA Semifinal series Sunday. Tip-off from Michelob Ultra Arena is set for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Liberty lead 2-1

The Liberty took the first 2 games at home by scores of 87-77 and 88-84. The Aces got back in the series Friday with a 95-81 finish. After scoring 21 and 24 in the first 2 games, G Sabrina Ionescu was held to 4 points in Game 3. F Breanna Stewart is averaging 22.7 points and 6 rebounds per game in the series.

C A’ja Wilson has been her usual, consistently dominant self with 19 points and 14 boards in Game 3. She’s averaging 21.3 PPG in the series. G Jackie Young (24 points) and G Kelsey Plum (20 points) stepped up to complement Wilson in Game 3.

Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Aces -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +2.5 (-105) | Aces -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 89, Liberty 81

Moneyline

Before the Game 3 win, the Aces had lost 5 straight to the Liberty. With that in mind, there’s no chance I’m taking them at -155 to send the series back to the Big Apple. Instead, I’m keying on KELSEY PLUM OVER 17.5 POINTS (+100) at even-money. She has scored 20+ in 2 of the 3 games in the series and 3 of the last 4 overall.

Against the spread

I look for Vegas to stay alive one more time. Wilson is hard to contain in the middle, and her guards are hitting shots. The Aces are tough at home, and I’m good laying the points.

Take the ACES -2.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

All 3 games in this series have gone Over. That track-meet kind of a game benefits the Aces, who are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6. The Liberty have cashed 4 straight Overs.

Take the OVER 166.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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