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The New York Liberty (30-6) and Dallas Wings (9-27) meet Thursday at College Park Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Wings odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Liberty lead 3-0
The Liberty have won 4 straight games since a stunning 94-88 setback in Los Angeles as a 12.5-point favorite. New York covered last time out as a 10-point favorite in Dallas in the front end of the back-to-back set, but it hasn’t covered consecutive games since covering 7 in a row from July 10-Aug. 20.
That 7-game cover streak ended in the 2nd end of a back-to-back at Barclays Center against the Wings on Aug. 22 as an 11-point favorite. New York is just 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in the previous 8 outings.
The Wings have dropped 5 in a row, while also failing to cover any of those outings. In the 5-game skid, Dallas has a margin of defeat of 10.2 points per game. The Over is 4-1 across the past 5 outings.
Liberty at Wings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 6:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Wings +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
- Against the spread: Liberty -11.5 (-105) | Wings +11.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 178.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Liberty at Wings picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 94, Wings 88
Moneyline
New York (-650) will set you back 6 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive for a standalone wager, or as part of a multi-leg parlay. There is just no value playing such heavy favorites.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The WINGS +11.5 (-115) are worth a look as the underdog in the 2nd end of the back-to-back set. Dallas covered the 2nd end in the 2-game set in Brooklyn back in late August.
Dallas has failed to cover the past 5 outings, so this takes a little bit of a leap of faith. But, the Liberty are 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games as a favorite of 7.5 or more points.
Over/Under
OVER 178.5 (-105) is worth a look whenever the Wings are in action.
Dallas has the worst defense in the W, allowing 91.6 PPG, while the opposition is hitting 47.5% from the field. The Wings are slightly better against the 3, allowing teams to hit at 36.1%, which ranks 10th.
The Over is 3-2 in the past 5 games for the Liberty, too, including the Over in Dallas on Tuesday.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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