New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

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The New York Knicks face the Philadelphia 76ers Thursday for Game 3 of their 1st-round best-of-7 series. Tip-off from Wells Fargo Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. 76ers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Series: Knicks lead 2-0; won regular-season series 3-1

Philadelphia led 101-96 with 47.1 seconds left in Game 2, but a 3 by G Jalen Brunson followed by a botched inbound by the Sixers that led to another 3 and the Knicks won 104-101. They failed to cover the -3.5 spread and their late rally nearly hit the Over of 206.5.

In such a close game New York’s better free throw percentage (82.6% vs 72.7%) and their 3 fewer turnovers made a difference.

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | 76ers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +5.5 (-110) | 76ers -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Knicks at 76ers key injuries

Knicks

F Julius Randle (shoulder) out
C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) questionable

76ers

F Robert Covington (knee) out
C Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
G De’Anthony Melton (back) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Knicks at 76ers picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 107, Knicks 100

Moneyline

Home teams in the playoffs this year have won in 13 of their 16 games. The 76ers as a home favorite during the season are 24-9 straight up, while the Knicks are 11-13 as road dogs.

But at -225 I will PASS and look to the spread.

Against the spread

If you unpack that 11-13 moneyline record for New York, against the spread they are a surprising 11-12-1. This means they rarely lose and cover.

Combine that with Philly’s 20-16 ATS record after a loss and New York’s 24-26-1 after a win, I like the 76ers to have a strong showing.

BET 76ERS -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Playoff defense is here. The current line is incredibly low, in round 1 this year teams have exceeded 201 points in 10 of the 16 games. But the record is 6-2 for the Eastern Conference series, both in the Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic.

Both games between these teams were above 201.

I will add that New York on the road hits the Over in 53.7% of their games (22-19) despite being a top 10 Under team this season. And Philly goes Over 57.6% of the time as a home favorite this year.

LEAN OVER 204.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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