The New York Knicks (24-23) visit the Target Center Wednesday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (11-36). Below, we analyze the Knicks-Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
New York had a three-game win streak snapped with a 98-88 loss to the Miami Heat as a 3.5-point home underdog Monday. Over the past two weeks, the Knicks are 4-2 straight-up (SU) and 3-2-1 against the spread (ATS).
Minnesota has lost two straight, five of six and six of its last eight games (3-5 ATS). The Timberwolves are winning the tank race as they are the worst team in the Association by 2.5 games.
Despite being outscored 28-16 in the fourth quarter, the Knicks held off the Timberwolves to win the first head-to-head meeting this season 103-99 as 3-point home favorites.
Minnesota won the four prior meetings with New York, going 3-1 ATS.
Knicks at Timberwolves: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:51 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Knicks -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Timberwolves +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread/ATS: Knicks -3.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Knicks at Timberwolves: Key injuries
Knicks
- PG Derrick Rose (ankle) questionable
- C Mitchell Robinson (foot) out
Heat
- SF Josh Okogie (health and safety protocols) questionable
- PG D’Angelo Russell (knee) out
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Knicks at Timberwolves: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Knicks 102, Timberwolves 94
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight lean on Knicks (-160) because their implied win probability based on the money line is 61.5% and New York probably wins this game two-thirds of the time.
Also, I wouldn’t hate putting New York’s money line in a parlay with another favorite to get a plus-money payout.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The Timberwolves are terrible against good defensive squads. Minnesota is 3-13 SU with the worst points per 100 possessions differential and the 24th-ranked ATS margin vs. top-10 defenses, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
The KNICKS -3.5 (-110) are winning the games they should. New York is 15-6 SU with the second-best ATS margin and a plus-6.2 in points per 100 possessions vs. teams in the bottom 10 of net points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Furthermore, New York was bludgeoned by Miami at home Monday and the Knicks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss.
BET KNICKS +3.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
GIMME UNDER 218.5 (-110) for a half-unit because the Under has cashed in four straight Knicks-Timberwolves games and New York has played to the Under in six of its last eight games.
My hesitation with the Under here is betting Knicks games to be low-scoring is fairly obvious and the assigned referee crew has officiated far more Overs than Unders this season.
Also, it would sure be nice if you could do a same-game parlay with New York’s money line and the Under in this game.
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Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2021 MLB American League Betting Preview
- NBA announces key dates for 2021 combine, lottery and draft (Rookie Wire)
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