The New York Islanders and Pittsburgh Penguins play Game 5 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Monday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at PPG Paints Arena. Below, we analyze the Islanders-Penguins odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Islanders picked up a 4-1 victory in Game 4 on home ice behind Ilya Sorokin grabbing the 2-2 series tie. New York has scored exactly four goals in three of the first four outings outscoring Pittsburgh 13-11.
The Penguins had won six of the final seven regular-season meetings, but the playoffs are a different animal. Pittsburgh also allowed 15 total goals in the final seven regular-season meetings, but they have coughed up 13 goals in the four games in this series.
Islanders at Penguins: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Islanders +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Penguins -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Islanders +1.5 (-225) | Penguins -1.5 (+185)
- Over/Under: 5.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
Islanders at Penguins: Projected starting goalies
Ilya Sorokin (13-6-3, 2.17 GAA, .918 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Tristan Jarry (25-9-3, 2.75 GAA, .909 SV%, 2 SO)
Sorokin allowed just one goal on 30 shots in Game 4 winning for the second time in as many starts in this series. While Semyon Varlamov was amazing in the regular season, head coach Barry Trotz is simply going with the hot hand right now.
Jarry was 5-1-0 with a 2.41 GAA and .917 SV% in six regular-season starts, but he has had his hands full in this series. He is 2-2-0 with a 3.04 GAA and .904 SV% in four starts in the playoffs so far.
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Islanders at Penguins: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Penguins 4, Islanders 3
Money line (ML)
The PENGUINS (-140) are back on home ice, and they’re the play in this pivotal Game 5 as they look to push the Islanders (+115) to the brink. We haven’t seen overtime since Game 1 in this series, surprisingly, but don’t be shocked to see an extra session or two needed here.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The Islanders +1.5 (-225) is a little too expensive on the puck line, but that would be the play as I think this one won’t be determined in regulation.
Still, AVOID, and just stick with the money line.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 5.5 (+110) at plus-money is the way to go. The Islanders are averaging 3.4 goals per game across four outings in this series while the Pens are good for 2.8 goals per game. Look for the third Over of the series in Game 5.
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