New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and predictions

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7) welcome the New Orleans Saints (5-11) to Raymond James Stadium Sunday to wrap up their regular seasons. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Saints vs. Buccaneers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Saints lost to the Las Vegas Raiders 25-10 Sunday in Week 17 action, closing as 2-point home underdogs. They have lost 3 in a row, going 1-2 against the spread (ATS). The New Orleans offense has consistently come up short, scoring 20 or fewer points in 5 straight games. The Saints are 6-10 ATS on the season.

The Buccaneers throttled the visiting Carolina Panthers 48-14 Sunday in Week 17, closing as 10.5-point favorites. They have been on fire down the stretch, covering 4 of their last 6 games while going 5-1 straight up (SU).

The Buccaneers are 9-7 on the season and currently sit atop the NFC South. If they lose Sunday, they will also need the Atlanta Falcons to lose to the Panthers (Sunday at 1 p.m. ET) in order to make the playoffs. Atlanta is favored over the Panthers — it’s -400 at BetMGM Sportsbook as of Saturday at 12:25 p.m. ET — so this is practically a must-win scenario for Tampa Bay.

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Saints at Buccaneers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Buccaneers -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
Against the spread: Saints +14 (-110) | Buccaneers -14 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saints at Buccaneers key injuries

Saints

QB Derek Carr (hand) out
RB Alvin Kamara (groin) doubtful
LB Pete Werner (concussion) questionable
TE Juwan Johnson (knee) questionable
WR Chris Olave (head) questionable

Buccaneers

DB Jamel Dean (knee) out
TE Cade Otton (knee) doubtful
WR Sterling Shepard (hamstring) questionable

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Saints at Buccaneers picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 28, Saints 10

Moneyline

PASS.

The Buccaneers are going to have their foot on the gas, while the Saints may have most of their starters sidelined. Expect a goliath Tampa Bay win. It is unplayable to win SU as a massive home favorite, though.

Against the spread

BET BUCCANEERS -14 (-110).

The Buccaneers offense has been the exact opposite of the New Orleans attack. Tampa Bay has scored at least 20 in all but 1 game this season and at least 40 in 2 of its last 3. It is 1-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite, beating the Panthers by 34 points in Week 17 while laying 10.5.

The Saints have not rewarded bettors much in the last month and a half. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Bet BUCCANEERS -14 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 44 (-110).

The Saints will likely be without numerous star-caliber players in this one, and they have already had a struggling offense. New Orleans has gone Under in 5 straight games, scoring a total of 10 points in its last 2.

The Buccaneers may have a dominating attack, but they can’t do it all themselves. They have scored 28 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 games and are 4-3 O/U in their last 7, allowing 17 or fewer in 3 of their last 4.

Take UNDER 44 (-110).

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