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The New Orleans Saints (3-2) face the Houston Texans (2-3) Sunday in Week 6 NFL action. Kickoff from NRG Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Saints vs. Texans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Both the Saints and Texans played on the road last week and had very different games.
The Saints dominated the New England Patriots so thoroughly (34-0) that Patriot fans are questioning whether any player (or coach) is worth keeping next year. The Saints’ defense controlled the game thanks to 3 forced turnovers. The offensive side struggled as QB Derek Carr failed to throw for 200 yards and no running back reached 100 yards.
In Houston’s 21-19 loss to the Atlanta Falcons, the Texans led with less than 2 minutes. But Falcons QB Desmond Ridder threw for over 300 yards and marched down the field for a game winning field goal. Texans TE Dalton Schultz led Houston with 65 yards off 7 receptions and QB C.J. Stroud has yet to throw a pick.
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Saints at Texans odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:42 P.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Saints -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Texans +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Saints -1.5 (-110) | Texans +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Saints at Texans key injuries
Saints
- S J.T. Gray (hamstring) out
- TE Juwan Johnson (calf) out
- S Lonnie Johnson (hamstring) out
- FB Adam Prentice (knee) out
- OT Landon Young (hip) out
Texans
-
WR Tank Dell (concussion) questionable
-
LB Christian Harris (concussion) questionable
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WR Robert Woods (ribs) questionable
Saints at Texans picks and predictions
Prediction
Saints 21, Texans 17
Moneyline
The Saints match up well against the Texans. With RB Alvin Kamara getting back into the swing of things after his suspension, look to New Orleans to increase its run game — especially against a Houston defense that allows the 3rd-most rushing touchdowns per game.
On the flip side, the Saints’ run defense limits opponents to less than 100 yards on the ground. With Houston only getting 3 yards per rush (31st in the NFL), they will be one-dimensional on Sunday.
BET SAINTS (-125).
Against the spread
Road favorites are 17-12 ATS this season, but don’t jump on the Saints for the extra value. New Orleans failed to cover in both of its wins as a favorite and the lines were low (-3 against the Titans and -3 at Panthers). I will AVOID and stick with the moneyline.
Over/Under
In inter-conference matchups, the Under has a 26-14 record. Combine that with the Saints’ 5-0 Under record this season, and it is tough to see how this game goes over 42.
LEAN UNDER 42.5 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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