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The Houston Texans (7-4) host the New England Patriots (10-1) during Sunday Night Football at NRG Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. We analyze the Patriots-Texans odds and betting lines, while providing sports betting picks and tips around this key AFC matchup.
Patriots at Texans: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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- This matchup is owned by the Patriots historically, as they’ve won the past eight matchups and are 10-1 in the history of the two teams meeting. Their most recent game was in 2018, when the Pats won 27-20.
- The Patriots have won their past two games, but the offense has struggled, scoring 30 combined points over the past two games.
- The Patriots beat the Dallas Cowboys 13-9 in their last game.
- Houston has won three of the last four and just squeaked past the Indianapolis Colts 20-17 in their last game.
Patriots at Texans: Key injuries
Patriots CB Jason McCourty (groin) has been ruled out; the Pats have a ton of players listed as questionable, with QB Tom Brady (elbow) and WR Julian Edelman (shoulder) the most noteworthy. Both are expected to play. WRs Mohamed Sanu Sr. (ankle) and Phillip Dorsett II (concussion) remain questionable, too.
Patriots at Texans: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, Dec. 1, at 1:00 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Patriots 22, Texans 20
Moneyline (?)
As usual, the PATRIOTS (-162) are the favorite to win, but not with the same level of certainty from the oddsmakers as usual. Houston is +135. The juice is worth the squeeze here on the Patriots, as the tax isn’t very high for a regular favorite.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Patriots returns $6.17 profit with a victory.
Against the Spread (?)
Houston (+3.5, -129), 5-6 against the spread (1-4 at home), is being spotted 3.5 points, and that hook is as dangerous as ever. This will be a close game. The Patriots (+105) just can’t put teams away lately, as their offense is lacking playmakers and Brady hasn’t been crisp — he’s completed less than 56% of his passes in three of his last four games.
This spread is too close for me to bet on with the Pats struggling offensively. I’d AVOID. If you’re feeling the Texans, but the moneyline instead, where you have a better value.
Over/Under (?)
The Patriots are 3-8 vs. the O/U and 1-5 vs. it on the road, while Houston is just 1-4 vs. the O/U at home (4-7 overall). The under is generally a safe play for New England, but you’re going to be flirting with trouble here considering the 44.5 line in place. Roll with the UNDER (+120) again, but only do a small-unit wager here as confidence is low with a very solid line in play.
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Ryan’s NFL Picks: 27-13
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