The Nevada Wolfpack (7-2, 4-1 MWC) and San Diego State Aztecs (8-1, 4-1 MWC) battle for supremacy in the MWC West Division in a Saturday night tussle. Kickoff at Dignity Health Sports Park is slated for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nevada vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Nevada won at home last week (27-24 over San Jose State), and its only setback the last six games is a 34-32 loss at Fresno State Oct. 23. The Wolfpack has a pass-first attack, and with QB Carson Strong at the helm, it ranks third in the nation on passing yards (376.3 per game) and 129th in rushing yards (74.4). Strong has completed 70.5% of his passes.
The Aztecs are coming off a 17-10 win at Hawaii. Three of their last four games – all wins – have been decided by one score. San Diego State grinds out victories with a bottom-20 offense – and one that leans heavily on the rush and a top-10 defense. SDSU held Hawaii to 260 total yards last week; the Aztecs have held foes under 300 total yards five times this fall.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Nevada at San Diego State odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 9:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nevada +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | San Diego State -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +2.5 (-105) | San Diego State -2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Nevada at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Nevada 24, San Diego State 21
Money line
The Aztecs’ dodgy schedule could be exposed here. And SDSU lost by 10 to Fresno State, another strong MWC passing team.
Nevada won last year’s game, 26-21, and controlled that contest on the stat sheet as well. UN might be unlucky with its drive finishes not matching production on the upper 70 yards of the field. SDSU’s defense swings a bit of luck in the same respect.
BACK THE WOLFPACK (+120).
Against the spread
Nevada has won nine in a row ATS as an underdog. San Diego State has been November-exposed in recent years: the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in weeks 10-13.
Bettors wanting some cushion in a close game should TAKE NEVADA +2.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Over has gone 3-1-1 in the last five Nevada-San Diego meetings.
The lean here is the Over, but Nevada may well make this a two-score margin (or more?), and the total here could be in play even with a solid Wolfpack performance. PASS.
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