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The Nevada Wolf Pack (3-7, 0-4 Mountain West) and 14th-ranked Boise State Broncos (7-1, 4-0) meet Saturday at Albertsons Stadium in Boise. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Nevada vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Wolf Pack have dropped 3 in a row, while going 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) since a 42-37 win over Oregon State on Oct. 12. The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games, too, with Nevada allowing 24 or more points in 5 straight outings, with 34 or more points given up in 4 of 5 contests.
The Broncos roughed up San Diego State last weekend, 56-24, while covering as a 24-point favorite. The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in the past 5 games, and they’ve picked up 6 straight wins since a 37-34 loss to top-ranked Oregon in Eugene on Sept. 7.
Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty has racked up 1,525 rushing yards with 20 touchdowns in 8 games, while QB Maddux Madsen has passed for 1,789 yards, 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, while running for 121 yards and 2 TDs.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Nevada at Boise State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Boise State -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Nevada +23.5 (-110) | Boise State -23.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nevada at Boise State picks and predictions
Prediction
Boise State 48, Nevada 20
Moneyline
Backing Boise State (-2500) would set you back 25 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
Even including the Broncos in a multi-leg parlay, or Same Game Parlay (SGP), is just way too expensive, with too much risk.
AVOID.
Against the spread
Back BOISE STATE -23.5 (-110) is worth playing at home, as the Broncos keep their foot on the gas in pursuit of a College Football Playoff spot.
Nevada +23.5 (-110) is technically still alive for a bowl game, but it needs to win out. It suddenly isn’t going to have urgency against the Broncos. In the past 2 games against unranked opponents Hawaii and Colorado State, the Wolf Pack have lost by an average margin of 19.0 PPG.
Over/Under
OVER 60.5 (-110) is worth a look, and it might be the best play on the board.
The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games for Nevada, while allowing 34 or more points in 4 of the previous 5 contests, too.
As far as Boise State is concerned, the Over is 6-2 in 8 games this season, while scoring at least 28 points in every outing. It has allowed 24 or more points in 4 of the past 5 games, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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