NBA Playoffs action continues Sunday, as we focus on the Phoenix Suns and Deandre Ayton’s prop bets and lines. Ayton has an over/under of 14.5 points in his matchup with the Denver Nuggets on Sunday.
Over his last five outings, Ayton has averaged 12.2 points and nine rebounds, compared to his season average of 14.6 points and 10.6 rebounds per game. He’s shooting 63.7% from the field this year (63.2% in just his last five games).
The Suns will match up with the Nuggets on Sunday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals, starting at 8:00 PM ET. The Suns are being picked to win the matchup by oddsmakers, who list them as 3-point favorites. The over/under is set at 222.5 points. Let’s take a look at how Ayton has performed this season and in recent outings to provide insights into his betting lines for this matchup.
Deandre Ayton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 14.5
- Over Odds: -115
- Under Odds: -118
- Points per game: 14.6
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 1:44 AM EST on June 13, 2021.
Deandre Ayton points insights
- The 14.5 point total set for Ayton’s game Sunday is 0.1 fewer points than his season scoring average.
- In 47.4% of his games this season (37 of 78 matchups) Ayton has scored more than 14.5 points.
- Ayton’s season-long scoring average, 14.6 points per game, is 0.4 fewer points than his average points prop bet over/under.
- Less than half of the time — 47.6% of his outings this year — Ayton has hit the over on his point total (30 out of 63 opportunities).
- 52.6% of Ayton’s outings this year have seen him go under his season-long average points prop total of 15 points (41 out of 78 contests).
- The Nuggets’ opponents are racking up 109.2 points per game, which is the 20th-most given up by an NBA squad this season.
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Deandre Ayton rebound insights
- Ayton’s per-game rebound average of 10.6 is 0.1 more rebounds than his prop bet over/under in Sunday’s game (10.5).
- In 38 out of 78 games this season (48.7%), Ayton has pulled down more than 10.5 rebounds.
- Ayton has collected 0.2 fewer rebounds (10.6 per game) than his season average prop bet (10.8).
- In just 47.6% of his chances (30 of 63), Ayton has hit the over on his rebounds prop bet total.
- Ayton has gone over his average rebounds prop bet total (10.8 boards) in only 48.7% of his matchups (38 out of 78 games).
- Teams are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game against the Nuggets this season, the 27th-most allowed by a team.
Deandre Ayton assists insights
- Ayton’s year-long assist average — 1.3 per game — is 0.8 assists higher than Sunday’s assist prop bet total (0.5).
- In 75.6% of his matchups this season (59 out of 78) Ayton has had more than 0.5 assists.
- Ayton’s per-game assist average (1.3) is 0.2 less than his average assist prop bet total (1.5).
- Ayton has recorded 1.5 or more assists (his average assist prop total) in only 31 of 78 of his games (39.7%).
- Opponents of the Nuggets have dished out 25.4 assists per game this season, the seventh-most against any NBA squad.
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