NBA Playoffs action continues Tuesday, as we focus on the Milwaukee Bucks and Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines. The points over/under set for Connaughton in Tuesday’s game against the Atlanta Hawks is 6.5.
Connaughton finishes with an average of 6.6 points per contest this season, while connecting on 43.5% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he’s averaged 5.4 points in each matchup and has shot 40.9% from the floor.
The Bucks will face the Hawks on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET. The Bucks are being picked to win in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals by bookmakers, who list them as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 219.5 points. How will Connaughton fare relative to his betting lines? Let’s break down his performances and dig into some insights to find out.
Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 6.5
- Over Odds: -110
- Under Odds: -120
- Points per game: 6.6
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 1:38 AM EST on June 29, 2021.
Pat Connaughton points insights
- The 6.5 points prop total set for Connaughton on Tuesday is 0.1 fewer points than his season scoring average (6.6).
- Connaughton has scored more than 6.5 points in 37 of 83 games this season (44.6%).
- Connaughton’s season-long average points prop bet total, 6.4 points, is 0.2 fewer points than his per-game scoring average.
- 52.6% of Connaughton’s outings this year have seen him go under his point prop total (10 out of 19 chances).
- 55.4% of Connaughton’s outings this year have seen him fall short of his season-long average points prop total of 6.4 points (46 out of 83 games).
- The Hawks’ opponents are averaging 119.7 points per game, which is the most allowed by an NBA team this season.
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Pat Connaughton rebound insights
- Connaughton has averaged 4.7 rebounds per game, 0.2 more boards than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (4.5).
- In 49.4% of his games this season (41 of 83), Connaughton has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (4.5 boards).
- Connaughton has collected 4.7 rebounds per game, which is 0.6 more rebounds than his season average prop.
- In 52.6% of his opportunities (10 out of 19), Connaughton has hit the over on his rebounds prop bet total.
- In only 41 of his 83 contests (49.4%), Connaughton has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total of 4.1 boards.
- Teams are pulling down 47.0 rebounds per game against the Hawks this season, the third-most allowed by a squad.
Pat Connaughton assists insights
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.6 more than Tuesday’s assist over/under (0.5).
- In 66.3% of his matchups this season (55 out of 83) Connaughton has dished out more than 0.5 assists.
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.1 less per game than his average assist prop bet total of 1.2.
- Connaughton has recorded 1.2 or more assists (his average assist prop over/under) in only 26 of 83 of his games (31.3%).
- Opponents of the Hawks have averaged 25.0 assists per game this season, the 10th-most against any NBA squad.
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