NBA playoff prop bets: Milwaukee Bucks Pat Connaughton props for 6/27/2021

The NBA Playoffs roll on Sunday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines. Connaughton’s points prop bet over/under is set at 6.5 points for Sunday’s game against the Atlanta Hawks. Over his last five …

The NBA Playoffs roll on Sunday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines. Connaughton’s points prop bet over/under is set at 6.5 points for Sunday’s game against the Atlanta Hawks.

Over his last five outings, Connaughton has averaged 6.4 points, compared to his season average of 6.6 points per game. He’s shooting 43.4% from the field this year (42.3% in just his last five games).

The Bucks will face the Hawks on Sunday in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, starting at 8:30 PM ET. The Bucks are being picked to win the matchup by sportsbooks, who list them as 4-point favorites. The over/under is set at 223.5 points. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Connaughton will fare in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.

Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown

  • Points Over/Under: 6.5
  • Over Odds: -110
  • Under Odds: -125
  • Points per game: 6.6

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 1:40 AM EST on June 27, 2021.

Pat Connaughton points insights

  • The 6.5 point total set for Connaughton’s game Sunday is 0.1 fewer points than his season scoring average.
  • Connaughton has scored more than 6.5 points in 37 of 82 games this season (45.1%).
  • Connaughton’s season-long scoring average, 6.6 points per game, is 0.2 points higher than his average points prop bet total.
  • Less than half of the time — 47.4% of his matchups this year — Connaughton has gone over his point total (nine out of 19 chances).
  • Less than half of the time — 45.1% of his matchups this year — Connaughton has gone over his season-long average point total of 6.4 points (in 37 of his 82 games).
  • Opponents of the Hawks have put up 119.7 points per game this season, the most against any NBA team.

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Pat Connaughton rebound insights

  • Connaughton’s per-game rebound average of 4.6 is 0.1 more rebounds than his prop bet over/under in Sunday’s game (4.5).
  • In 48.8% of his games this year (40 of 82), Connaughton has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (4.5 boards).
  • Connaughton has pulled down 0.5 more rebounds (4.6 per game) than his season average prop bet (4.1).
  • In 52.6% of his chances (10 out of 19), Connaughton has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
  • In just 48.8% of his games (40 of 82 contests), Connaughton has outpaced his average rebounds prop bet total (4.1).
  • Teams are grabbing 47.0 rebounds per game against the Hawks this season, the third-most given up by a team.

Pat Connaughton assists insights

  • Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game this season, 0.6 assists more than his prop bet for the matchup on Sunday (0.5).
  • In 54 out of 82 games this season (65.9%) Connaughton has dished out more than 0.5 assists.
  • Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.1 fewer per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 1.2.
  • Connaughton has covered his average assist prop total (1.2) in just 26 of his 82 contests (31.7%).
  • Teams are compiling 25.0 assists per game against the Hawks this season, the 10th-most allowed by a squad.

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