Friday’s NBA Playoffs slate features some interesting betting options, including the Denver Nuggets’ Paul Millsap prop bets. Let’s take a look at the markets and lines for Millsap in this postseason matchup. Millsap’s points prop bet over/under is set at 5.5 points for Friday’s matchup with the Phoenix Suns.
Over his last five outings, Millsap has averaged seven points, compared to his season average of 8.8 points per game. He’s shooting 47.5% from the field this year (43.8% in just his last five games).
The Nuggets are being picked to win in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals by oddsmakers, who list them as 1.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 222.5 points. The teams will hit the court on Friday starting at 10:00 PM ET. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Millsap will fare in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.
Paul Millsap prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 5.5
- Over Odds: -120
- Under Odds: -110
- Points per game: 8.8
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 1:48 PM EST on June 11, 2021.
Paul Millsap points insights
- The 5.5 point total set for Millsap’s game Friday is 3.3 fewer points than his season scoring average.
- In 70.3% of his games this season (45 of 64 matchups) Millsap has scored more than 5.5 points.
- Millsap’s season-long scoring average, 8.8 points per game, is 0.6 fewer points than his average points prop bet over/under.
- In 55.2% of his outings this year, Millsap has gone over his point total (16 out of 29 chances).
- In less than half of his games — 30 of 64 this year (46.9%) — Millsap has gone over his season average points prop bet total (9.4).
- Opponents of the Suns have scored 113.4 points per game this season, the 11th-most against any NBA team.
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Paul Millsap rebound insights
- Millsap has collected 4.6 rebounds per game, 1.1 more boards than his prop bet for Friday’s game (3.5).
- In 42 out of 64 games this season (65.6%), Millsap has snagged more than 3.5 rebounds.
- The average prop bet over/under Millsap has had set for rebounds this season is 4.9. He usually has fallen short of that value as he has grabbed 4.6 rebounds per game, 0.3 fewer rebounds than his average prop.
- Only 44.8% of the time this year (13 of 29 opportunities), Millsap has gone over his rebounds prop bet total.
- In half of his contests, Millsap has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total of 4.9.
- Teams are averaging 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most given up by a team.
Paul Millsap assists insights
- Millsap has averaged 1.8 assists per game, 0.3 more than Friday’s assist over/under (1.5).
- In 50% of his matchups this season (32 out of 64) Millsap has had more than 1.5 assists.
- Millsap’s per-game assist average (1.8) is 0.3 more than his average assist prop bet total (1.5).
- In half of Millsap’s games he has recorded more than 1.5 assists (his average assist prop bet total this season).
- Opponents of the Suns have averaged 23.6 assists per game this season, the 23rd-most against any NBA team.
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