The NBA Playoffs roll on Friday for the Denver Nuggets, so let’s take a look at Michael Porter Jr.’s prop bets and lines. Porter’s points prop bet over/under is set at 18.5 points for Friday’s game against the Phoenix Suns.
Porter records an average of 18.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game this season, while connecting on 53.6% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he’s averaged 16.2 points and seven rebounds in each matchup and has shot 49.2% from the floor.
The Nuggets are being picked to win the contest by oddsmakers, who list them as 1.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 223.5 points. The teams will meet on Friday in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals, starting at 10:00 PM ET. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Porter will fare in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.
Michael Porter Jr. prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 18.5
- Over Odds: -115
- Under Odds: -115
- Points per game: 18.9
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 10:47 PM EST on June 10, 2021.
Michael Porter Jr. points insights
- The 18.5 points prop bet over/under set for Porter on Friday is 0.4 fewer points than his season scoring average (18.9).
- Porter has put up more than 18.5 points 37 times this season (out of 69 total games — 53.6%).
- Porter’s season-long average points prop bet total is 1.5 points less than his per-game scoring average (18.9 points).
- In 31 of 48 chances this year (64.6%), Porter has gone over his point total.
- 59.4% of Porter’s matchups this year have seen him go over his season-long average points prop total of 17.4 points (41 out of 69 games).
- Teams are averaging 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most given up by a squad.
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Michael Porter Jr. rebound insights
- Porter has averaged 0.7 more rebounds per game (7.2) than his prop bet total in Friday’s game (6.5).
- In 56.5% of his games this season (39 of 69), Porter has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (6.5 boards).
- Porter has pulled down 0.5 fewer rebounds (7.2 per game) than his season average prop bet (7.7).
- Just 35.4% of the time this year (17 of 48 outings), Porter has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
- In just 27 of his 69 games (39.1%), Porter has outpaced his average rebounds prop bet total of 7.7 boards.
- Teams are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most allowed by a squad.
Michael Porter Jr. assists insights
- Porter has averaged 1.2 assists per game, 0.3 less than Friday’s assist over/under (1.5).
- In 23 out of 69 games this season (33.3%) Porter has had more than 1.5 assists.
- Porter has averaged 0.2 fewer assists per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 1.4.
- In only 33.3% of Porter’s contests (23 out of 69) he has recorded more than 1.4 assists (his average assist prop total this season).
- The Suns’ opponents are averaging 23.6 assists per game, which is the 23rd-most given up by an NBA squad this season.
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