The Milwaukee Bucks take to the court Wednesday for a night of NBA Finals betting action. Let’s focus in on Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines for his upcoming game. The over/under for Connaughton’s points in Wednesday’s game against the Phoenix Suns is 7.5.
Over his last five outings, Connaughton has averaged 10.4 points, compared to his season average of 6.8 points per game. He’s shooting 44.1% from the field this year (52.8% in just his last five games).
The Bucks are being picked to win the game by sportsbooks, who list them as 4.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 220.5 points. The teams will hit the court on Wednesday in Game 4 of the NBA Finals, starting at 9:00 PM ET. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Connaughton will fare in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.
Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 7.5
- Over Odds: -118
- Under Odds: -115
- Points per game: 6.8
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 1:35 AM EST on July 13, 2021.
Pat Connaughton points insights
- The 7.5 point total set for Connaughton on Wednesday is 0.7 more points than his scoring average on the season (6.8).
- In 39.3% of his games this season (35 of 89 matchups) Connaughton has put up more than 7.5 points.
- Connaughton’s season-long scoring average, 6.8 points per game, is 0.4 points higher than his average points prop bet over/under.
- 52.6% of Connaughton’s outings this year have seen him go under his point prop total (10 out of 19 opportunities).
- Less than half of the time — 47.2% of his matchups this year — Connaughton has gone over his season-long average point total of 6.4 points (in 42 of his 89 games).
- Teams are scoring 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most allowed by a squad.
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Pat Connaughton rebound insights
- Connaughton has pulled down 4.6 rebounds per game, 0.1 more boards than his prop bet for Wednesday’s game (4.5).
- In 43 out of 89 games this year (48.3%), Connaughton has collected more than 4.5 rebounds.
- Connaughton has pulled down 0.5 more rebounds (4.6 per game) than his season average prop bet (4.1).
- In 52.6% of his chances (10 of 19), Connaughton has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
- In only 48.3% of his games (43 of 89 contests), Connaughton has outpaced his average rebounds prop bet total (4.1).
- Teams are pulling down 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most allowed by a squad.
Pat Connaughton assists insights
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.6 more than Wednesday’s assist over/under (0.5).
- Connaughton has had more than 0.5 assists in 59 out of 89 games this season (66.3%).
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.1 fewer per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 1.2.
- Connaughton has recorded 1.2 or more assists (his average assist prop total) in just 27 of 89 of his contests (30.3%).
- Teams are dishing out 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most allowed by a team.
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