NBA Finals action continues Sunday, as we focus on the Milwaukee Bucks and Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines. The points over/under set for Connaughton in Sunday’s game against the Phoenix Suns is 7.5.
So far this season, Connaughton has recorded an average of 6.7 points every night, while over his last five outings, he’s averaging 9.4 points. He’s shooting 44.0% from the floor this season and 50.0% in his last five games.
The Bucks are being picked to win in Game 3 of the NBA Finals by bookmakers, who list them as 4-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 221.5 points. The teams will meet on Sunday starting at 8:00 PM ET. Let’s take a look at how Connaughton has fared this season and in recent outings to provide insights into his betting lines for this matchup.
Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 7.5
- Over Odds: -110
- Under Odds: -120
- Points per game: 6.7
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 10:35 PM EST on July 9, 2021.
Pat Connaughton points insights
- The 7.5 point total set for Connaughton’s game Sunday is 0.8 more points than his season scoring average.
- In 38.6% of his games this season (34 of 88 matchups) Connaughton has scored more than 7.5 points.
- Connaughton’s season-long average points prop bet over/under is 0.3 points less than his per-game scoring average (6.7 points).
- 52.6% of Connaughton’s matchups this year have seen him go under his point prop total (10 out of 19 opportunities).
- Less than half of the time — 46.6% of his outings this year — Connaughton has hit the over on his season-long average point total of 6.4 points (in 41 of his 88 contests).
- The Suns’ opponents are scoring 113.4 points per game, which is the 11th-most given up by an NBA team this season.
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Pat Connaughton rebound insights
- Connaughton has averaged 4.6 rebounds per game, 0.1 more boards than his prop bet for Sunday’s game (4.5).
- In 48.9% of his games this year (43 of 88), Connaughton has reeled in more than 4.5 boards.
- Connaughton has reeled in 0.5 more rebounds (4.6 per game) than his season average prop bet (4.1).
- In 10 of his 19 opportunities (52.6%), Connaughton has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
- In just 48.9% of his games (43 of 88 games), Connaughton has gone over his average rebounds prop bet total (4.1).
- Teams are pulling down 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most given up by a team.
Pat Connaughton assists insights
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game this season, 0.6 assists more than his prop bet for the matchup on Sunday (0.5).
- Connaughton has dished out more than 0.5 assists in 58 out of 88 games this season (65.9%).
- Connaughton’s per-game assist average (1.1) is 0.1 less than his average assist prop bet over/under (1.2).
- Connaughton has covered his average assist prop total (1.2) in just 26 of his 88 games (29.5%).
- Teams are dishing out 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most allowed by a team.
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