NBA finals prop bets: Milwaukee Bucks Brook Lopez props for 7/11/2021

The NBA Finals continue Sunday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at Brook Lopez’s prop bets and lines. Lopez has an over/under of 11.5 points in his game against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Lopez records an average of 12.5 points, 5.2 …

The NBA Finals continue Sunday for the Milwaukee Bucks, so let’s take a look at Brook Lopez’s prop bets and lines. Lopez has an over/under of 11.5 points in his game against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday.

Lopez records an average of 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per contest this season, while connecting on 51.5% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he’s averaged 15.6 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.2 blocks in each matchup and has shot 57.9% from the floor.

The Bucks will match up with the Suns on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET. The Bucks are being picked to win in Game 3 of the NBA Finals by bookmakers, who list them as 4-point favorites. The over/under is set at 221.5 points. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Lopez will perform in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.

Brook Lopez prop bets breakdown

  • Points Over/Under: 11.5
  • Over Odds: -120
  • Under Odds: -110
  • Points per game: 12.5

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 10:35 PM EST on July 9, 2021.

Brook Lopez points insights

  • The 11.5 point total set for Lopez on Sunday is 1.0 fewer point than his scoring average on the season (12.5).
  • In 51.7% of his games this season (46 of 89 matchups) Lopez has scored more than 11.5 points.
  • Lopez’s season-long average points prop bet total is 0.6 points less than his per-game scoring average (12.5 points).
  • Less than half of the time — 49.2% of his outings this year — Lopez has gone over his point total (32 out of 65 chances).
  • 51.7% of Lopez’s outings this year have seen him hit the over on his season-long average points prop total of 11.9 points (46 out of 89 contests).
  • The Suns’ opponents are racking up 113.4 points per game, which is the 11th-most allowed by an NBA team this season.

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Brook Lopez rebound insights

  • Lopez’s per-game rebound average — 5.2 — is 0.3 fewer rebounds than his prop bet over/under in Sunday’s game (5.5).
  • In 42.7% of his games this year (38 out of 89), Lopez has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (5.5 boards).
  • Lopez has grabbed 5.2 rebounds per game, which is 0.2 more rebounds than his season average prop.
  • In only 40% of his opportunities (26 out of 65), Lopez has gone over his rebounds prop bet total.
  • Teams are averaging 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most given up by a team.

Brook Lopez assists insights

  • Lopez has averaged 0.6 assists per game, 0.1 more than Sunday’s assist over/under (0.5).
  • Lopez has had more than 0.5 assists in 37 out of 89 games this season (41.6%).
  • Lopez’s per-game assist average (0.6) is 0.1 more than his average assist prop bet over/under (0.5).
  • Lopez has dished out 0.5 or more assists (his average assist prop bet total) in only 37 of 89 of his games (41.6%).
  • The Suns’ opponents are collecting 23.6 assists per game, which is the 23rd-most given up by an NBA team this season.

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