The Missouri Tigers (2-3, 0-2 SEC) head to Gainesville to take on the Florida Gators (3-2, 0-2) Saturday. Kickoff is at noon ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Missouri vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Both of these teams are looking for their first SEC victory. Missouri is coming off what might be the best definition of a “moral victory” in recent team history. The Tigers lost 26-22 to Georgia last Saturday as 31-point underdogs. Mizzou led most of the game, too — the Bulldogs didn’t take their first lead until late in the 4th quarter.
Florida is coming off a blowout 52-17 victory over Eastern Washington Sunday, covering the spread as a 32-point favorite. Florida QB Anthony Richardson has a combined 693 passing yards, 6 total TDs and 2 INTs over the team’s last 2 games.
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Missouri at Florida odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Missouri +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Florida -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Missouri +10.5 (-108) | Florida -10.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Missouri at Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Missouri 30, Florida 27
Moneyline
MISSOURI (+360) has an attractive moneyline for those looking for an underdog to get them more than 3 and a half times their money back. The Tigers played their best football of the season last week by battling Georgia close and lost a close overtime road game against Auburn (17-14) Sept. 24. Mizzou should be fired up to get its first conference win of the season.
Against the spread
If you’re feeling the Tigers but aren’t quite trusting that they can pull off a road victory in The Swamp, take MISSOURI +10.5 (-108) to cover a spread that’s way too big.
Missouri’s defense played great against one of the best teams in the country last week, and while the Tigers’ offense isn’t top-tier, neither is Florida’s defense which is allowing 193.2 yards rushing per game (113th). Mizzou should take advantage after its RBs earned 126 yards on the ground against the Bulldogs last week.
Over/Under
This is a true wild card, with the Over going 1-4 in Mizzou’s games and 3-2 in Florida’s games this season. Florida is averaging 32.2 points per game, while Mizzou is putting up 26.8 per game. However, with Mizzou’s defense playing well, Florida may have trouble getting over its season average. I’d AVOID the Over/Under for this matchup.
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