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The Minnesota Vikings (6-2) and Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7) meet Sunday in Week 10. Kickoff from EverBank Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Vikings vs. Jaguars odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions..
The Vikings broke their 2-game losing streak by defeating the Indianapolis Colts 21-13, covering as 5.5-point home favorites with the Under 46 cashing. Minnesota’s offense totaled 415 yards (282 passing, 133 rushing). QB Sam Darnold’s performance was mixed, with 3 TDs and 2 INTs, but he connected well with WR Justin Jefferson, who had in 7 catches for 137 yards.
The Jaguars lost for the third time in the last 4 games, falling 28-23 to the Philadelphia Eagles. They managed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs, with the Over 46.5 hitting. Jacksonville’s offense was inefficient, totaling just 215 yards (155 passing, 60 rushing) and committing 3 turnovers, including a game-sealing INT by QB Trevor Lawrence in the end zone with 1:42 left.
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Vikings at Jaguars odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 12:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Vikings -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Jaguars +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vikings -7 (-105) | Jaguars +7 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Vikings at Jaguars key injuries
Vikings
- LB Blake Cashman (toe) questionable
- LB Gabriel Murphy (knee) questionable
- LB Ivan Pace (knee) questionable
Jaguars
- OG Ezra Cleveland (ankle) out
- WR Devin Duvernay (hamstring) questionable
- RB Travis Etienne (hamstring) questionable
- RB D’Ernest Johnson (toe) questionable
- QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) questionable
- RB Keilan Robinson (hamstring) questionable
- DT Maason Smith (ankle) out
- WR Brian Thomas Jr. (chest) questionable
- S Daniel Thomas (hamstring) questionable
- S Andrew Wingard (knee) questionable
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Vikings at Jaguars picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 27, Jaguars 21
Moneyline
PASS.
The Vikings (-350) will pick up this road victory, but this game will be closer than most believe. I’m taking my bet to the spread.
Against the spread
BET JAGUARS +7 (-115).
The Jaguars have a poor record, but they’ve shown resilience. Jacksonville’s opponents have covered the spread just once in the last 6 games, and the Jags have covered in their last 3, pushing teams like the Green Bay Packers and Eagles to close finishes.
Even if Lawrence can’t play, Jacksonville could be undervalued as home underdogs. The Jags have scored at least 23 points in their last 3 games, with RB Tank Bigsby rejuvenating the run game. QB Mac Jones is capable of keeping the offense competitive.
Meanwhile, the Vikings, though favored, have often been in tight games, winning by more than 1 score just twice. Minnesota may win, but the Jaguars are playing to keep their season alive and could stay within a TD. Jacksonville’s recent form suggests they’re more competitive than their record reflects.
Over/Under
BET OVER 43.5 (-110).
The Over looks promising in this matchup based on recent trends and stats. The Jaguars and Vikings have gone Over in their last 4 meetings, and Jacksonville has hit the Over in each of its last 5 games. The Jaguars are also heating up on offense, averaging 32 points in their last 2 home games. Even without Lawrence, Jones can challenge a Minnesota defense that allowed 4 passing TDs in its most recent road game.
The Vikings’ defense has struggled, giving up 30 and 29 points in their last 2 away games. On offense, Minnesota ranks third in passing yards per attempt (8.6) and fifth in passing TDs (17) with WR Justin Jefferson (48 catches, 5 TDs) consistently delivering big performances. Facing a Jags defense that has allowed the second-most passing yards (2,379 with 19 TDs), this game is set up well for another Over.
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