The Minnesota Twins (26-40) and Seattle Mariners (33-35) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP J.A. Happ is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 3-2 with a 5.75 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 56 1/3 IP over 11 starts.
Happ has allowed four or more runs in each of his two June starts and five of his past six outings overall. This will be his appearance against the Mariners since Aug. 26, 2019, when he was a member of the New York Yankees.
RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-3 with a 4.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 59 2/3 IP over 11 starts.
Flexen has lasted at least six innings in each of his past three starts, but he is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two starts in June. While he has been eating innings, he hasn’t been terribly consistent this season.
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Twins at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Mariners 5, Twins 3
Money line (ML)
MARINERS (-105) is the lean here as short ‘dogs at home. Happ has been getting crushed lately, and while Flexen has been a little erratic, he is an innings eater who keeps the bullpen fresh. The Twins (-115) are likely to need their bullpen sooner rather than later, and they rank 27th in the majors with a 4.97 bullpen ERA. Advantage Seattle.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The MARINERS +1.5 (-165) are a decent value at home if you want a little bit of insurance. Seattle isn’t terribly expensive as they look for a second straight win in the series after taking the opener 4-3 as home ‘dogs Monday.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean. While Happ and Flexen have been coughing up plenty of runs overall, Flexen has been somewhat respectable at home. He has a 2.67 ERA in 33 2/3 innings at home vs. a 7.27 ERA in 26 innings on the road.
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