The Minnesota Twins (54-67) and New York Yankees (69-52) open a four-game series Thursday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze the lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-1
The Twins rallied for an 8-7, 11-inning home victory vs. the Cleveland Indians Wednesday, taking two of three in the series.
The Yankees completed a three-game, home sweep of the Boston Red Sox with a 5-2 victory Wednesday. It was New York’s sixth consecutive win.
RHP John Gant, acquired from the St. Louis Cardinals July 30, is the Twins’ projected starter and will face the Yankees for the first time in his six-year career. He is 4-6 with a 3.49 ERA (85 IP, 33 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 6.1 BB/9 in 14 starts and 18 relief appearances this season.
- Since trade: 0-0, 4.15 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 8 H, 2 BB, 13 K in seven relief appearances
- Didn’t allow run in five of his seven Minnesota outings and never pitched more than 2 IP
- 2021 starts: 4-6, 3.76 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, 6.7 BB/9 in 14 outings with Cards going 6-8
RHP Jameson Taillon is the Yankees’ projected starter. He is 7-4 with a 3.89 ERA (118 IP, 51 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 23 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-5, 10-inning win at Chicago White Sox Saturday
- Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 3.97 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 13 K in two 2018 starts as member of Pittsburgh Pirates
Twins at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins +2.5 (-130) | Yankees -2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Prediction
Twins 6, Yankees 5
Money line (ML)
While both teams enter on high notes, MINNESOTA (+230) is where the value is.
The Twins are playing much better lately. Their last three victories came in walk-off fashion with SS/2B Jorge Polanco providing the winning hit in each.
Minnesota has won its last four series, which included beating the Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros – all first-place teams.
However, only BET a HALF UNIT on TWINS (+230).
While the Yankees have won six in a row and are 6-0 in Taillon’s last six starts, expect a New York “letdown” after its three-game sweep of rival Boston.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
ATS records: Twins 48-73 | Yankees 58-63
I have two plays here, basically making Minnesota my STRONGEST PLAY – which is usually 1½ times your regular wager.
- BET TWINS +2.5 (-130) to WIN a QUARTER UNIT
- BET TWINS +1.5 (+111) alternate line to WIN a HALF UNIT
Both clubs have been ATS disappointments, but the Yankees are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games and the Twins are 10-5 ATS in their last 15.
Over/Under (O/U)
O/U records: Twins 70-46-5 | Yankees 51-68-2
PASS with a lean to the Over 10.5 (-110).
Minnesota is the best Over team in the majors; New York is the top Under team.
The first 2021 series between these two (in Minneapolis) saw all three games cash Over tickets.
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| SINCE JULY 8 | 16-10 | 7-4 | +5.082 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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