The Minnesota Twins (6-8) meet the Los Angeles Angels (8-5) Saturday for Game 2 of a three-game set at Angel Stadium. First pitch is set for 9:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Angels took Game 1 of the series 10-3, taking a 4-3 lead in the 6th and scoring 6 more runs in the bottom of the 7th.
Season series: Angels 1-0
RHP Matt Shoemaker gets the start for the Twins Saturday. Shoemaker played for the Angels the first six years of his career. He is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 0.8 BB/9 over 2 starts this season.
- Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 7 K in 8-6 loss to the Seattle Mariners Sunday
- Career at Angel Stadium: 19-15 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 267 2/3 IP across 44 starts and 5 bullpen appearances
LHP Jose Quintana is on the mound for the Angels. Quintana is 0-1 with a 16.20 ERA, 3.40 WHIP, 16.2 K/9 and 12.6 BB/9 in 2 starts.
- Last outing: Loss in 1 2/3 IP with 7 R (5 ER), 5 H, 4 BB and 4 K in 15-1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays April 10
- Career vs. Twins: 7-8 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.8 K/9 in 126 2/3 IP over 21 starts (last start was in 2017)
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Twins at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:52 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Angels -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+135) | Angels +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Twins 7, Angels 3
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the TWINS (-115) for a half unit because Minnesota has a little more motivation to get Shoemaker his first career win over his former team. As a bettor, I’m always looking for motivational edges in regular-season action.
Also, right-handed hitters are drilling Quintana so far this year and the heart of Minnesota’s lineup is righties.
For instance, righties have a .492 wOBA this season vs. Quintana (lefties have a .127 wOBA) and are slashing .450/.593/.500 (compared to lefties’ .143/.143/.143 slash line).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS with a “lean” on Twins -1.5 (+135) because I like Minnesota to win outright, but the payout isn’t juicy enough for the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-110) for a quarter unit mostly because of Minnesota’s previously discussed edge in the starting pitching matchup.
But despite my preference for Shoemaker in this spot, he is still Minnesota’s fifth starter
What’s holding me back from betting more on the Over is more than 95% of the money wagered is on the Over (according to Pregame.com) and it’s generally not profitable in sports betting to follow a crowd of people.
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