The Minnesota Twins (62-59) try to tame the Houston Astros (79-45) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Astros lead 4-0.
The Twins fell to the Astros 4-2 Tuesday night thanks in part to RHP Justin Verlander‘s 10 K’s over 6 no-hit innings. They are tanking at the worst time, falling 3 games behind the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central. Minnesota is 4-6 in its last 10 and 13-17 in the last 30. The Twins are 27-31 away from the Twin Cities and are up against a buzzsaw in Houston.
The Astros are attempting to join the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 80-win club. They are 40-18 at home, 21-8 against the AL Central and 50-34 against right-handed starters. Houston has won all 4 games in this series, and it hasn’t been close with a combined score of 25-5.
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Twins at Astros projected starters
RHP Dylan Bundy vs. LHP Framber Valdez
Bundy (7-4, 4.60 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 103 2/3 IP.
- Has a 1.88 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in his last 3 starts
- Was solid in 2 starts against Houston last year: 12 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 16 K
Valdez (11-5, 2.72 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 149 IP.
- Has a 2.81 ERA in his last 7 starts
- Mixed results against Minnesota in 2 starts last year: 13 2/3 IP, 11 H, 5 ER, 6 BB, 9 K
Twins at Astros odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Twins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Astros -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-115) | Astros -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Twins at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 4, Astros 3
Money line
This seems like a tall order, but the Astros are just 6-4 and 12-8 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively. Bundy had their number last year and has been dealing of late. Minnesota showed fight Tuesday after Verlander left the game by scoring 2 runs in the 9th inning when they could have just packed it in. They carry that momentum over into Wednesday. Take the TWINS (+200) for the upset.
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Run line/Against the spread
I don’t like the run line Wednesday because if I am wrong, and the Twins don’t get it done, then the Astros have likely cruised. Instead, let’s look for Minnesota to build off their 2-run 9th inning and take TWINS OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS (-130).
Over/Under
I was actually planning to pass on this until I saw the data. The Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston and 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings overall. The Under has hit in 6 straight for Minnesota. LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107).
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