The Minnesota Twins (43-35) and Cleveland Guardians (38-34) wrap up their 5-game series on Thursday afternoon. First pitch at Progressive Field is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 5-5.
Minnesota is 4-2 across its last 6 games. The Twins let a 10th-inning 6-3 lead slip away in an eventual 7-6 loss Wednesday.
Cleveland continues a homestand that opened with 3 straight losses to the Boston Red Sox. The Guardians are 2-6 in their last 8 games.
Twins at Guardians projected starters
RHP Chris Archer vs. RHP Shane Bieber
Archer (2-3, 3.14 ERA) owns a 1.22 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 57 1/3 IP in 14 starts.
- Tossed 5 scoreless frames in his last outing and owns a 1.57 ERA, 0.91 WHIP over his last 5 starts.
- Owns a 2.76 ERA on the road.
- Averaging 70 pitches per start.
Bieber (3-4, 3.07 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.2 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 85 IP.
- Has a 2.51 ERA in his last 5 starts against Minnesota.
- Has gone 8 straight starts without allowing more than 3 runs. Has notched a 2.41 ERA and 10.1 K/9 in those 8 games.
Twins at Guardians odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Guardians -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Twins +1.5 (-155) | Guardians -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Twins at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 6, Twins 4
Money line
There are several crisscrossing value indicators for and against both sides in this series. PASS. The better value here is on the run line.
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Run line/Against the spread
Archer’s line has been aided by a .233 batting average on balls in play. Look for the Guardians to close out this marathon set with a win by multiple runs.
BACK CLEVELAND -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-115). Peg both bullpens as fatigued, and add in some fade-Archer lean and a warmed-up, wind-blowing-out forecast for this afternoon game.
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