Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (67-64) try to salvage a game against the Chicago White Sox (67-66) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 6-6

The Twins got worked over 13-0 Saturday as they were only able to muster 1 hit. They have lost 3 in a row after having a 5-game win streak. They still remain 1 game out in the AL Central, but now the White Sox are on their tails as well, just 1 game back.

The White Sox got a gem from RHP Dylan Cease Saturday, who took a no-hitter into the 9th inning. The ChiSox are now 4-0 since it was announced Wednesday that manager Tony La Russa was out indefinitely due to a medical issue. Whether this run is in spirit of him or in spite has yet to be determined.

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Twins at White Sox projected starters

RHP Dylan Bundy vs. RHP Lucas Giolito

Bundy (7-6, 4.53 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 113 1/3 IP.

  • In 3 starts vs. White Sox this year: 15 1/3 IP, 12 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 13 K
  • Has a 3.10 ERA in his last 6 starts
  • Bad road splits: 5.66 ERA, 1.35 WHIP vs. 2.80 ERA, 1.09 WHIP at home

Giolito (10-8, 5.27 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 128 IP.

  • April 24 vs. Twins: 4 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 9 K
  • Has given up 4 ER or more in 3 of his  last 4 starts
  • Bad home splits: 6.86 ERA, 1.61 WHIP vs. 3.91 ERA, 1.41 WHIP on road

Twins at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | White Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-180) | White Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Twins at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins, 6, White Sox 4

Money line

The Twins are at a solid price in a game they really shouldn’t be such underdogs for. Giolito has the stuff to be among the best in baseball, but he has been out of sorts all year. His 48 walks in 128 IP is close to eclipsing the 52 he had in 178 2/3 IP last year. Plus, he’s been bad at home. The Twins take advantage Sunday. Go with the TWINS +115.

Run line/Against the spread

What happens the day after a team gets no-hit or nearly no-hit? They usually come back mashing the following day, and Giolito’s home splits supports that hypothesis. This is playoff-caliber baseball, and the Twins can’t afford to get swept. Let’s take a chance and go with the TWINS ALTERNATE SPREAD -1.5 (+190).

Over/Under

The Twins are 6-3-1 O/U in the last 10. That’s good for a team you don’t really consider to be potent offensively. There’s a 9-mph breeze going to the right-field foul pole. Lefties might have issues with that Sunday. Eight runs seems pretty reasonable. Take the OVER 7.5 (-125).

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