The Minnesota Twins (39-53) and Chicago White Sox (56-36) play the first game of a doubleheader Monday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Griffin Jax is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 1-1 with a 8.66 ERA and 1.70 WHIP with 7.1 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 over 17 2/3 IP across 1 start and 4 relief appearances.
Jax last appeared July 3 when he made his only previous start in Kansas City. He allowed six earned runs, eight hits and three walks with three strikeouts across five innings in a loss.
RHP Lance Lynn is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 9-3 with a 1.99 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 across 90 2/3 IP in 16 starts.
Lynn faced the Twins last time out July 7 allowing just one earned run, four hits and three walks with six strikeouts over six innings in a win at Target Field. Overall, he is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA across 17 innings over three starts against Minnesota in 2021.
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Twins at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | White Sox -225 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-120) | White Sox -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
White Sox 6, Twins 2
Money line (ML)
The White Sox (-225) are a little too expensive in Game 1 of this double dip despite the strong pitching advantage. I just don’t like paying two times my potential return.
PASS, and look to the run line instead.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The WHITE SOX -1.5 (+100) are a better value on their home field against the Twins +1.5 (-130), especially since Lynn has been so hard on the division rivals.
Minnesota is just 1-5 in its past six against winning teams and 1-5 in the past six on the road against a right-handed starter, too. Chicago has won seven of the past eight, and they’re 5-1 in the past six at home vs. RHP.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 7 (-110) is the recommended play with the unproven Jax facing the first-place White Sox. He should cough up plenty of runs. The Over is 24-9-2 in Minnesota’s past 35 against winning teams. The Over is also 5-1 in the past six meetings in Chicago, too.
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