The Minnesota Twins (38-29) and Arizona Diamondbacks (31-36) conclude their 3-game series in Phoenix Sunday afternoon. First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The season series is tied 1-1.
The Twins bounced back from a 7-2 series-opening loss to beat Arizona 11-1 Saturday night. They are 3-2 on their road trip and head back home after Sunday’s game. They are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
Arizona right-hander Luke Weaver was shelled Saturday in his first start of the year, allowing 9 runs and 10 hits in 3 2/3 innings. The Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their homestand and look to close it out with a win.
Twins at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Chris Archer vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Archer (1-2, 3.35 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 48 1/3 IP.
- Has gotten out of the 5th inning only twice all season, but has been solid. He’s allowed only 2 ER in his last 14 innings and has allowed more 2 ER just twice.
- The Twins are 6-6 with him on the mound.
Kelly (5-4, 3.68 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 71 IP.
- Diamondbacks have lost 5 of his last 7 starts, including Monday’s 5-4 loss to the Reds. He allowed 5 R, 8 H, 2 BB and 7 K in 6 IP.
- Allowed 1 or fewer runs in 5 of his first 6 starts, but has allowed 3 or more in 5 of his last 7 starts.
Twins at Diamondbacks odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:48 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Twins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Diamondbacks 4
Money line
In their last 24 games, the Twins have won consecutive games only once, but the Diamondbacks are 8-14 in their last 22, although they have had 3 instances of 2 consecutive wins.
Arizona lost 2B Ketel Marte to a mild hamstring injury that will have him day-to-day, but his bat will be missed.
Kelly has been very average in his last 7 starts.
Take the TWINS (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Twins are 16-17 ATS on the road this season, but 10 of their last 11 wins have been by at least 2 runs.
Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 losses have been by more than 1 run. They are 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games.
Take the TWINS -1.5 (+125) for the best bet of Sunday’s game.
Over/Under
Saturday night’s game had 12 total runs and 8 of the Twins last 14 games have had 10 or more runs.
The Diamondbacks have had 5 of their last 11 games with 10 or more runs.
Take OVER 9.5 (+100).
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