Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-16) face off against the Detroit Pistons (16-18) Saturday. Kickoff from Little Caesars Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Minnesota won 2-0 last season

Minnesota was handed a 118-115 loss by the Boston Celtics Thursday as a 3-point underdog. The Wolves shot 53.8% from deep while also winning the rebound battle 41-31 against Boston, but their 16-4 loss in the turnover battle proved to be their downfall Thursday. Minnesota also had an abysmal 2nd quarter Thursday, being outscored 34-16 by Boston during those 12 minutes of play.

Detroit escaped with a 98-94 win over the Charlotte Hornets Friday as a 7.5-point favorite. In that matchup, the Pistons won the rebounding battle 51-45 and the turnover battle 18-15. The Pistons had 5 players score in double-figures in the win.

Timberwolves at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -7.5 (-110) | Pistons +7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Pistons key injuries

Timberwolves

  • Rob Dillingham (ankle) out

Pistons

Not yet submitted – below from Friday’s game 

  • Jaden Ivey (leg) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 115, Pistons 111

Moneyline

PASS. 

The Wolves will win and cover here as -300 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the spread and/or Over/Under as both are less risky than the moneyline for this game.

Against the spread

LEAN PISTONS +7.5 (-110). 

Detroit has covered the spread in 4 of its last 6 games. The Pistons have also been the better ATS team this season, being 17-16-1 ATS on the year while the Wolves are just 13-19-1 on the year. The Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their 4 matchups against Minnesota.

This is a lean because Minnesota is the better team and because both teams are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 matchups against one another.

Over/Under

BET OVER 217.5 (-115). 

The Over has hit in all of Minnesota’s last 4 games and is 17-16 for the Timberwolves this season. For Detroit, the Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games and 18-16 this season. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Minnesota-Detroit matchups.

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