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The Denver Nuggets (51-22) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22) to Ball Arena Friday. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Nuggets are 1-1 straight up but 0-2 against the spread (ATS) vs. Minnesota this season. Most recently, they beat the Wolves on the road 115-112 March 19, failing to cover as 7.5-point favorites.
Denver lost to the Phoenix Suns 104-97 in its last game Wednesday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point home favorite. That snapped a 4-game win streak for the Nuggets. They have won 9 of their last 11 yet are just 6-5 ATS in that span. Denver is 33-39-1 ATS on the season.
The Timberwolves beat the Detroit Pistons 106-91 Wednesday, failing to cover as 16.5-point favorites. They have won 3 in a row after losing to Denver. Minnesota is 38-34 ATS on the season and 6-1 ATS over its last 7 games. It is led by G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 26.2 points per game.
Timberwolves at Nuggets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Nuggets -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +6.5 (-108) | Nuggets -6.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 212 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries
Timberwolves
- G Anthony Edwards (back) questionable
- C Rudy Gobert (rib) questionable
- F Karl-Anthony Towns (meniscus) out
Nuggets
- C Nikola Jokic (back) probable
- G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
- C Zeke Nnaji (adductor) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 115, Timberwolves 107
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets (-280) have won 9 of their last 11. While Minnesota is also among the best teams in the West, it is more injured and could be missing several key pieces.
However, Denver at -280 is still too expensive to play outright.
Against the spread
LEAN NUGGETS -6.5 (-112).
Denver has covered in 4 of its last 6 home games. The Nuggets sit 7th in offensive efficiency and have proven they can score on Minnesota, notching 115 against the Wolves on the road March 19.
The Wolves have lost 2 of their last 3 road games against playoff-contending opponents by at least 10 points. They are 7-8 ATS since Feb. 27, so while they have picked it up as of late, they haven’t consistently covered over the last month.
Considering those trends, back NUGGETS -6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 212 (-110).
If there’s 1 thing both teams have done consistently as of late, it is hit the Over. The Wolves have gone Over in 5 of their last 9 games and 8 of their last 14. The Nuggets have gone Over in 4 of their last 5, scoring at least 113 in 4 of those games.
Denver has allowed at least 106 points in 4 of its last 7, so Minnesota should be able to chip in to help the total here as well.
That said, take OVER 212 (-110).
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