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The Minnesota Timberwolves face off against the Denver Nuggets on Monday in Game 2 of their best-of-7 Western Conference 2nd-round series with tip-off from Ball Arena set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Minnesota leads the series 1-0. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Minnesota won the series opener 106-99 Saturday as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Wolves shot 52.4% from the field as G Anthony Edwards dropped 43 points on 17-of-29 shooting and added 7 rebounds.
C Nikola Jokic was dominant despite the loss, scoring 32 points with 8 rebounds and 9 assists. The Nuggets were outrebounded 42-34 in their 1st home loss in this year’s playoffs.
Timberwolves at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:47 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nuggets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +5.5 (-110) | Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 205.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries
Timberwolves
- None
Nuggets
- G Jamal Murray (calf) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 105, Timberwolves 101
Moneyline
PASS.
I expect the Nuggets to win here and not be swept at home, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as -225 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET TIMBERWOLVES +5.5 (-110).
Minnesota has covered the spread in all 5 playoff games thus far, including covering as an underdog in each of its last 3 games. The Timberwolves are also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 matchups vs. Denver overall, being 4-1 ATS in the 5 matchups this season.
Over/Under
Updated at 2:50 a.m. ET.
Originally, I wrote this as “LEAN Under 206.5 (-115),” but BetMGM Sportsbook’s O/U line has dropped a full point to 205.5 (-110), so now it’s a PASS.
The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Denver and is 5-1 for the Nuggets in these playoffs. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Minnesota-Denver matchups, being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.
Plus, the Over is 4-2 in Minnesota’s last 6 games.
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