Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets play Game 1 of a best-of-7 series in the Western Conference semifinals at Ball Arena Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Minnesota breezed through the 1st round with a 4-0 sweep of the Phoenix Suns after beating them 122-116 Sunday to cover as a 1-point road underdog. G Anthony Edwards scored a team-high 40 points, while C Karl-Anthony Towns (28 points and 10 rebounds) added a double-double. The Timberwolves shot 46.1% from the field in the win.

Denver also cruised through the 1st round with a 4-1 series win over the Los Angeles Lakers after a 108-106 victory Monday while failing to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. G Jamal Murray scored a game-high 32 points, while C Nikola Jokic (25 points and 20 rebounds) added a double-double. The Nuggets shot 47.2% from the field in the win.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

  • None

Nuggets

  • Jamal Murray (calf) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 112, Timberwolves 104

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Denver (-190) to win at home.

Against the spread

BET DENVER -4.5 (-110).

The Nuggets hold the advantage over the Timberwolves with Murray and Jokic, even with Murray listed as questionable for Saturday’s game. Denver has covered in 6 of its last 10 games, including 3 of its last 5 at home.

Minnesota faces a difficult challenge on the road after dealing with a disheveled Suns team in the 1st round.

Over/Under

BET OVER 208.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games and scored 120 or more in 3 or their last 4. They have scored 105 or more points in 9 straight games.

Denver has scored 108 or more points in each of its last 3 games and in 9 of its last 10 overall.

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