Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Hawks (14-15) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (14-13) to State Farm Arena Monday. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 1-1

The Timberwolves lost to the Golden State Warriors 113-103 Saturday, closing as 4-point home favorites. G Anthony Edwards had 19 points on 6-for-20 shooting to lead Minnesota, which has dropped 2 straight games. Despite the back-to-back losses, the Timberwolves are still 6-3 straight up (SU) and 5-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9. Minnesota is 11-16 ATS on the season.

The Hawks, who were without their leading scorer in G Trae Young (heel), lost 128-112 as 1.5-point underdogs vs. the visiting Memphis Grizzlies Saturday. Atlanta is on a 3-game SU/ATS skid. It is 7-4 SU and 5-6 ATS in its last 11 games. The Hawks are 11-18 ATS on the season.

Timberwolves at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Hawks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -3.5 (-115) | Hawks +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Hawks key injuries

Timberwolves

  • None

Hawks

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (leg) questionable
  • C Onyeka Okongwu (knee) out
  • G Trae Young (heel) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 115, Hawks 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Hawks could get Young back, but he’ll still be nursing his heel injury. Atlanta has struggled as of late and isn’t worth taking as a home underdog. With Minnesota (-175) better played on the spread, avoid the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES -3.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Minnesota’s defense has allowed 92 or fewer points in 6 of its last 9 games, so it should be able to limit the Hawks enough to cover Monday.

The Hawks were destroyed without Young and didn’t have that go-to option Saturday. They have lost 3 straight and started the season losing 7 of their first 11. Without an early-season 6-game win streak (Nov. 27-Dec.6), they would be far worse record-wise. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games and 0-3 ATS in its last 3 at home.

Play TIMBERWOLVES -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 222.5 (-115).

The Hawks play at a rapid pace and defend little. They have allowed 130.5 points per game over their last 2 games and given up at least 128 points in 4 of their last 6. Atlanta is 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games and 19-10 O/U on the season.

The Wolves are 13-14 O/U on the season and 2-3 O/U in their last 5 games, scoring at least 106 points in 6 of their last 8. Despite their strong defense, expect tempo to be the bigger factor for the Hawks, who are the 3rd in the NBA in pace.

Back OVER 222.5 (-115).

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