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The Minnesota Lynx (8-3) and Las Vegas Aces (5-4) meet Tuesday in a Commissioner’s Cup game at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Aces lead 1-0
The Lynx have won 4 of the past 5 games since losing May 29 at home to the Aces 80-66, while going 4-1 against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has played great defense lately, too, allowing 62 or fewer points in 2 of the past 3 games, while cashing the Under in all 3 outings.
The Aces dropped a high-scoring 96-92 game at Los Angeles Sunday, and it’s the 4th time Las Vegas has lost outright as a favorite of 7.5 or more points this season. In fact, Las Vegas is just 5-4 SU this season. It didn’t lose its 4th game last season until Aug. 19.
Las Vegas has won 5 straight head-to-head meetings vs. Minnesota, while also covering in each of the battles. When the Aces won the May 29 game, they were 4-point road favorites and the Under (169) cashed.
The Aces are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the previous 10 in the series dating back to Sept. 8, 2021. The Under has a slight 3-2 edge in the 5-game win streak for the Aces.
Lynx at Aces odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lynx +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Aces -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Lynx +6.5 (-108) | Aces -6.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 166 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Lynx at Aces picks and predictions
Prediction
Aces 84, Lynx 80
Moneyline
Las Vegas (-300) will set you back 3 times your potential return, and while that’s never a good betting strategy, it’s especially risky lately since the Aces aren’t playing very good basketball.
Yes, the Aces dominate Minnesota (+235), but the Lynx are playing pretty good basketball, and it isn’t a recommended bet.
AVOID and focus on the spread.
Against the spread
MINNESOTA +6.5 (-108) is a solid play catching more than 3 buckets.
Red-hot F Napheesa Collier has 5 double-doubles in the past 6 outings, including 18 points and 13 assists in the 1st battle with the Aces May 29 in the Twin Cities. Collier had 19 points, 14 rebounds and 3 assists with 2 3-pointers last time out against Seattle, too.
Collier was recently named to the Team USA Olympic team. She’s the lone Minnesota player on the American squad, while Las Vegas has 4 in guards Chelsea Gray, Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young and 2-time MVP center A’ja Wilson.
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Over/Under
UNDER 166 (-110) is the lean in this Commissioner’s Cup showdown; go with a half-unit play at most.
The Lynx have cashed the Under in 3 in a row, and these teams combined for 146 points on a total of 169 in the first meeting May 29 in Minneapolis. The total has gone Under at a 3-2 pace in the past 5 games for Vegas, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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